Match Analysis: Torino vs Fiorentina – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-31
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Game Overview
The Serie A match between Torino and Fiorentina on August 31, 2025, features Fiorentina as the stronger side historically and recently. Fiorentina holds superior head-to-head statistics and a better recent form, having not lost to Torino in their last six meetings. Torino has struggled offensively and defensively, reflected in recent low scoring performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fiorentina has won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding 9, showing solid attacking capabilities but some defensive vulnerability. Torino won 2 of their last 5, scoring only 1 goal and conceding 8, indicating offensive struggles. Fiorentina's big chances created and overall form surpass Torinoβs significantly.
- Across 38 games since 2004, Fiorentina won 18, Torino 6, with 13 draws. Fiorentina is undefeated in the last 6 meetings (3 wins, 3 draws). Recent Serie A meetings show Fiorentina generally having the upper hand, both home and away.
- No specific injury data available from the search results for this match; hence, assumed no critical absences.
- The match is played at Torinoβs home ground, which could provide some home advantage, but Torinoβs low current league standing (20th) and Fiorentinaβs stronger position (7th) may offset this.
- Fiorentina, sitting higher in the standings and unbeaten recently against Torino, is likely more motivated to maintain their dominance, whereas Torino will be motivated to improve their poor start and capitalize on home support.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fiorentina: 1.43, Torino: 2.15, Draw: 2.1 | Fiorentina win | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Fiorentina: -145, Torino: 125 | Fiorentina to cover the spread (0) | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2: -137, Under 2: 117 | Under 2 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fiorentina 22% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fiorentina is favored to win or draw, given their historical dominance, recent form, and attacking superiority. A Torino win is less likely due to their poor offensive record and recent results.
Predicted Score: 0-1