Match Analysis: Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-31
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Geodis Park, Nashville, USA
Game Overview
Nashville SC, currently ranked 3rd in the MLS standings, face Atlanta United FC, ranked 14th, at home. Nashville has been strong this season with 9 goals in their last 5 matches and the league's top scorer, Sam Surridge (20 goals). Atlanta United have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches but have conceded more, with weakness in defense. The teams have a competitive history with Nashville having a slight edge in recent meetings. The match is expected to be competitive but with Nashville favored due to recent form and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nashville SC have scored 9 goals in their last 5 MLS matches, showing strong offensive form and have earned the most penalties this season (11). Atlanta United FC has scored 8 goals in their last 5 but conceded more, reflecting defensive vulnerability. Nashville ranks 3rd overall whereas Atlanta is 14th, indicating a performance gap this season.
- In 14 total MLS meetings since 2018, Nashville SC has won 5 times, Atlanta United 4 times, with 5 draws. Recently, Nashville has struggled more with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 5 encounters while Atlanta United has won their last 5 matches against Nashville. Historical H2H shows balance but recent trends favor Atlanta in direct matchups despite Nashvilleβs better league position.
- No specific injury data available from current sources for either team. Lineups will be clearer close to match time for precise injury updates.
- The match is played at Geodis Park, giving Nashville SC home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are not specified but should be standard for late August in Nashville. Motivational factors include Nashvilleβs push for higher standings and Atlantaβs need to improve their low table position.
- Nashville SC is motivated by a strong league position and presence of the league's top scorer. Atlanta United, on the other hand, needs points to climb from the 14th place, providing incentive to challenge strongly despite recent defensive concerns.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atlanta United FC: 420, Nashville SC: -180, Draw: 340 | Nashville SC to win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Atlanta United FC +1.5: -185, Nashville SC -1.5: 138 | Nashville SC -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -182, Under 2.5: 135 | Over 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nashville SC -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 -10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Nashville SC at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nashville SC is predicted to win narrowly due to their superior form, home advantage, and offensive threat. Atlanta United will challenge strongly but defensive lapses may cost them.
Predicted Score: 2-1