Match Analysis: St. Louis City SC vs Houston Dynamo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-31
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Energizer Park, St. Louis, USA
Game Overview
St. Louis City SC hosts Houston Dynamo in an MLS regular season match at Energizer Park. St. Louis City SC, with a struggling record this season, faces a Houston Dynamo side also underperforming, making this a critical match for both teams seeking points to improve their standings.
Key Factors to Consider
- St. Louis City SC holds a record of 5 wins, 16 losses, and 6 draws (21 points) in the season, showing struggle but home advantage might aid their performance. Houston Dynamo has 7 wins, 12 losses, and 8 draws, slightly better but also inconsistent. Both teams have had defensive vulnerabilities contributing to high scoring games.
- Recent direct encounters show balanced competition but no dominance, with prior matchups closely contested indicating a potentially tight game.
- No explicit injury reports are provided from the current data; ongoing squad statuses appear stable with key players available for both sides.
- The match being at St. Louis City's home venue, Energizer Park, favors the home side. Weather or other conditions are not specified but could generally impact play if adverse.
- Both teams are motivated to secure points late in the season due to their subpar standings. St. Louis City SC may have slightly higher motivation playing at home and trying to reverse their fortunes.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Houston Dynamo: 200, St. Louis City SC: 115, Draw: 280 | St. Louis City SC to win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Houston Dynamo: -0.5 @ -147, St. Louis City SC: +50 @ 110 | St. Louis City SC to win by at least one goal | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 3.5: 131, Under 3.5: -175 | Under 3.5 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | St. Louis City SC 18% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3.5 -6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: St. Louis City SC at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given home advantage and need for results, St. Louis City SC is favored to secure a narrow win, though a draw remains plausible. Houston Dynamoβs resilience and better record in recent matches imply they will compete strongly.
Predicted Score: 2-1