Match Analysis: Brendan Allen vs Marvin Vettori – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-20
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Game Overview
Middleweight clash between Brendan Allen and Marvin Vettori at UFC 318 featuring two top contenders with contrasting fighting styles and recent mixed form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Brendan Allen holds a slightly better recent form at 24-7, with high striking accuracy (53%) and solid defense (45%). Marvin Vettori (19-8-1) exhibits a higher volume in striking (4.54 per minute) but is less efficient both offensively and defensively.
- No direct head-to-head matchup history available, making recent form and stylistic matchup the primary focus.
- No recent injuries reported for either fighter that would impact performance significantly.
- Fight takes place at a neutral venue with no notable external factors affecting either fighter.
- Both fighters motivated to solidify rankings; Vettori looking to prove durability and striking after recent loss, Allen aiming to extend momentum with grappling dominance.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Brendan Allen: -192, Marvin Vettori: 160 | Brendan Allen | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Brendan Allen -3.5: 125, Marvin Vettori +3.5: -170 | Marvin Vettori +3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -345, Under 2.5: 250 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Brendan Allen -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 -14% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Brendan Allen at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Brendan Allen to win via decision, given grappling control and efficient striking.
Predicted Score: Brendan Allen wins by decision after 3 rounds