Match Analysis: Seattle Sounders FC vs San Jose Earthquakes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-20
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Lumen Field, Seattle, WA, USA
Game Overview
Seattle Sounders FC host San Jose Earthquakes in a tightly contested MLS matchup. Seattle enters with solid home advantage but recent scoring struggles. San Jose has an attacking mindset and has achieved some favorable recent results against Seattle. The game figures to be competitive and possibly high scoring.
Key Factors to Consider
- Seattle Sounders FC have shown strong possession and defensive resilience but have scored under 2.5 goals in their last several matches against San Jose. San Jose Earthquakes favor attack and have scored multiple goals in recent games, including draws with high scoring.
- Recent head-to-head meetings highlight three San Jose wins, two draws, and Seattle showing some difficulty breaking through. Two of the last three meetings had over 3.5 goals, and the last match ended in a 1-1 draw.
- No critical injury updates reported for either side affecting expected lineups significantly.
- Seattle enjoys home-field advantage at Lumen Field with familiar conditions. Weather and travel conditions favor the home team.
- Both teams are motivated to climb league standings; Seattle to assert home dominance and San Jose to upset and improve away form.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle Sounders FC: -140, San Jose Earthquakes: 320, Draw: 330 | Seattle Sounders FC | β β β ββ 64% |
Spread | Seattle Sounders FC -0.75 (-112), San Jose Earthquakes +75 (-108) | San Jose Earthquakes +0.75 | β β β ββ 58% |
Over/under | Over 3.5 (-105), Under 3.5 (-115) | Over 3.5 goals | β β β ββ 61% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle Sounders FC 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.5 21% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Sounders FC moneyline win
Predicted Score: 3-2