Match Analysis: FC Dallas vs St. Louis City SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-19
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Toyota Stadium
Game Overview
FC Dallas faces St. Louis City SC in a highly competitive MLS matchup. FC Dallas is coming off a 2-2 draw against the San Jose Earthquakes, while St. Louis City SC recently lost six straight on the road but won their last home game against Portland Timbers. FC Dallas holds a slight edge due to home advantage, but St. Louis is looking to improve their away record.
Key Factors to Consider
- FC Dallas has a poor home record, while St. Louis City SC struggles on the road. However, St. Louis's recent home win might boost their confidence.
- St. Louis City SC has not won away at FC Dallas, but they have a win against them overall.
- No significant injury reports were noted for this matchup.
- Both teams are motivated to improve their standings, with FC Dallas sitting three points ahead.
- FC Dallas is motivated to capitalize on their home advantage, while St. Louis seeks to break their away losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | FC Dallas: 110, St. Louis City SC: 235, Draw: 270 | FC Dallas | β β β ββ 61% |
Spread | FC Dallas: -0.25 -122, St. Louis City SC: 25 102 | St. Louis City SC +0.25 | β β β ββ 67% |
Over/under | Over: 3 -112, Under: 3 -108 | Under | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | FC Dallas 16% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the recent form and home advantage, FC Dallas might have a slight edge. However, considering St. Louis's ability to perform well against FC Dallas historically, the Asian Handicap could provide good value.
Predicted Score: 1-1