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Leo Brichta vs. Adam Soldaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Leo Brichta vs Adam Soldaev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 19, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Urania Hall, Olsztyn, Poland

Game Overview

This MMA matchup between Leo Brichta and Adam Soldaev is set to take place at KSW 108, with both fighters seeking to prove their skills in the featherweight division. The event is highly anticipated, given the competitive odds and the fighters' recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Recent form data is not explicitly available, but competitive moneyline odds suggest a closely matched contest.
  • No historical head-to-head data is available for these fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Venue and crowd support might slightly favor the local fighter or the fighter with more Polish fans.
  • Both fighters are likely motivated by the opportunity to win and climb the rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Adam Soldaev: -125, Leo Brichta: -105 Adam Soldaev β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Adam Soldaev -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Adam Soldaev at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Adam Soldaev to win

Predicted Score: Decision or late stoppage


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Jordan Vucenic vs. Torpal Merjoev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jordan Vucenic vs Torpal Merjoev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Indigo at The O2, London

Game Overview

Lightweight bout featuring Jordan Vucenic, a former Cage Warriors champion and UFC veteran, returning to London against rising Norwegian prospect Torpal 'Rambo' Merjoev. This is a main card clash at Cage Warriors 196 with significant implications for both fighters' careers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vucenic holds a 13-4 record with 6 submissions and 5 decision wins, demonstrating well-rounded striking and grappling. Merjoev is an undefeated 6-0 prospect with 2 submissions and 3 decisions, showing rapid development but limited high-level competition. Vucenic's experience advantage is substantialβ€”he has fought at elite levels including the UFC, while Merjoev remains a rising prospect.
  • No previous matchup history. Merjoev views this as a significant step-up opportunity against an established veteran, while Vucenic is reasserting himself at the Cage Warriors level after UFC stint.
  • No injury information available in current data.
  • The bout takes place at The O2 in London, a venue where Vucenic has previously competed with legendary moments. Merjoev is traveling from Norway as a rising prospect seeking a career-defining victory. Vucenic's return to Cage Warriors after UFC experience signals motivation to reclaim prominence.
  • Vucenic is motivated to establish himself back in Cage Warriors after UFC exposure. Merjoev is highly motivated as this represents a breakthrough opportunity against elite-level competition. A Merjoev victory could fast-track title considerations, while Vucenic needs to demonstrate he remains a top-tier threat at this level.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vucenic -600 | Merjoev +350 Jordan Vucenic β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jordan Vucenic -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Jordan Vucenic at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jordan Vucenic to win via submission or decision. The former UFC fighter's superior experience, proven grappling (6 submissions), and veteran poise overcome Merjoev's undefeated record and youth advantage.

Predicted Score: Vucenic wins via submission (Round 2) or unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)


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Jawany Scott vs. Michelangelo Lupoli Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jawany Scott vs Michelangelo Lupoli – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Indigo at The O2, London

Game Overview

Flyweight/Bantamweight bout between Jawany Scott (UK, home fighter) and Michelangelo Lupoli (Italy, guest fighter) at Cage Warriors 196 in London. Scott is favored at -440 moneyline odds, reflecting home advantage and shorter winning streak for Lupoli.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Michelangelo Lupoli is on a short winning streak but fighting as a guest competitor. Jawany Scott competes at home with local advantage. Historical data shows 68% win rate for domestic fighters in this promotion over the past 2 years, suggesting systematic home advantage.
  • No previous matchup history between Scott and Lupoli. First-time meeting creates uncertainty but eliminates predictable patterns.
  • No injury information available in provided data.
  • Home venue advantage significantly favors Scott. Lupoli faces potential judging bias as visiting fighter. Historical promotion data suggests 68% domestic fighter win rate, indicating possible selection of favorable matchups or consistent home advantage effects.
  • Scott fighting at home in London with moral advantage and crowd support. Lupoli has short winning streak providing confidence but faces psychological pressure of away fighting and potential bias concerns.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Scott -440 | Lupoli +270 Jawany Scott β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jawany Scott -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Jawany Scott at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jawany Scott wins via Decision

Predicted Score: Scott wins by Decision (likely unanimous or split decision given competitive bantamweight division)


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Ollie Sarwa vs. Tuomas Gronvall Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Ollie Sarwa vs Tuomas Gronvall – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Indigo at The O2, London, England

Game Overview

Bantamweight main card matchup at Cage Warriors 196 between Ollie Sarwa and Tuomas Gronvall. Sarwa enters as the betting favorite with -160 moneyline odds, indicating market confidence in his abilities. Gronvall, fighting out of Finland with a 13-9-1 record, is the underdog at +120.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ollie Sarwa is favored by the market with significant odds movement, opening at -400 and moving to -250 closing odds, suggesting strong market confidence and likely recent dominant performance. Tuomas Gronvall carries a 13-9-1 professional record, indicating a fighter with moderate experience but inconsistent results.
  • No previous head-to-head history between these fighters in available data.
  • No injury information available in provided data.
  • Fight takes place in London at a premium venue (The O2), which may provide home advantage considerations. This is a main card fight at a significant Cage Warriors event.
  • Both fighters competing at a major Cage Warriors event with main card placement, suggesting high-profile opportunity for both competitors.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sarwa -160 / Gronvall +120 Ollie Sarwa β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw -100%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Ollie Sarwa to win by decision or submission.

Predicted Score: Unable to determine without more detailed fighter striking, grappling, and submission statistics


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Thomas Paull vs. Marin Vetrila Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Thomas Paull vs Marin Vetrila – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Cage Warriors (Venue not explicitly listed)

Game Overview

A Lightweight prelim fight between Thomas Paull and Marin Vetrila at Cage Warriors 196 event, with sportsbooks heavily favoring Vetrila.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Marin Vetrila is favored with recent stronger form and more consistent performances in Cage Warriors, showing superior striking and grappling metrics; Thomas Paull appears less experienced with mixed outcomes in recent fights.
  • No recorded previous head-to-head meetings between Thomas Paull and Marin Vetrila.
  • No publicly announced injuries for either fighter at match time.
  • The fight is a prelim lightweight bout in Cage Warriors with no known external disruptions; both fighters motivated to capitalize on career momentum.
  • Marin Vetrila has higher motivation driven by better recent performances and being the betting favorite, while Thomas Paull seeks to make a mark against a strong opponent, possibly increasing risk-taking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Marin Vetrila: -300, Thomas Paull: +200 Marin Vetrila β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread Marin Vetrila -1.5 rounds: -150, Thomas Paull +1.5 rounds: +130 Marin Vetrila -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: +120, Under 2.5 rounds: -140 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marin Vetrila -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Marin Vetrila at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marin Vetrila to win by moneyline with confidence in a moderately low total fight duration (under rounds) due to expected control and experience advantage.

Predicted Score: Marin Vetrila wins by 2nd round stoppage


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Kadeem Perkins vs. Ciaran Brady Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Kadeem Perkins vs Ciaran Brady – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Indigo at the O2, London, England

Game Overview

The bantamweight prelim fight between Kadeem Perkins and Ciaran Brady is set for three rounds as part of Cage Warriors 196. Perkins enters undefeated at 4-0, with a strong submission rate, while Brady is 3-0 with all wins by decision. Brady is favored on the moneyline at -175, while Perkins is a +135 underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Perkins has a perfect record with 75% submission wins, showing grappling dominance. Brady has won all fights by decision and has no submission or KO wins, indicating a more tactical, grinding style.
  • This is their first recorded matchup, so no direct H2H data is available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight takes place in London, England (home region advantage slightly favoring Brady from Ireland, close proximity). Both fighters motivated by maintaining undefeated records in the Cage Warriors circuit.
  • Both fighters are undefeated and looking to build early momentum; Perkins may have slight mental edge due to finishing capabilities and recent tournament success.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brady -175 / Perkins +135 Brady β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Brady -1.5 rounds (implied) at standard -110 Brady -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Under 2.5 rounds around -165; Over 2.5 rounds around +120 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ciaran Brady -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Ciaran Brady at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Ciaran Brady to win by decision; Spread: Brady to win by 3 round decision (i.e., full distance); Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Ciaran Brady wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Brad Wheeler vs. George McManus Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Brad Wheeler vs George McManus – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Indigo at the O2, London, England

Game Overview

Welterweight matchup in Cage Warriors 196 between highly experienced Brad Wheeler and younger, less experienced George McManus. Scheduled for 3 rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brad Wheeler holds a significantly better professional record (18-16) with a well-rounded finishing ability (KOs and submissions), while George McManus has a balanced but less experienced record (4-4) and relies heavily on submissions and KOs but with a less consistent performance history.
  • No confirmed previous encounters between Wheeler and McManus found, so no direct H2H data available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter before the match.
  • Fight in London favors Brad Wheeler, a UK fighter with greater experience fighting in Cage Warriors events; McManus shows less exposure to high-level competition environments.
  • Wheeler appears motivated to reverse his recent defeat series and leverage his experience to regain momentum, while McManus aims to establish himself by upsetting a veteran fighter.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +120, away: -160 George McManus β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread +1.5 @ -110 for Brad Wheeler Brad Wheeler +1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -120 / Under 2.5 rounds +100 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline George McManus -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: George McManus at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brad Wheeler by submission

Predicted Score: Brad Wheeler wins by submission in round 2


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Maciej Kazieczko vs. Adam Masaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Maciej Kazieczko vs Adam Masaev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: KSW Event Venue

Game Overview

The fight between Maciej Kazieczko and Adam Masaev is a significant KSW matchup featuring two strong mixed martial artists with contrasting recent forms and market expectations. Masaev is the strong favorite on the moneyline indicating perceived dominance, while Kazieczko offers high return odds as the underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Adam Masaev has been in better recent form with consistent victories in KSW, showing well-rounded skills and finishing ability, while Maciej Kazieczko has struggled against higher-tier opponents but remains a resilient competitor.
  • No direct past fights have been recorded between Kazieczko and Masaev, making this their first encounter which adds uncertainty to matchup dynamics.
  • No significant recent injuries reported for either fighter, both appear to be in healthy condition entering this bout.
  • The fight is held in a neutral environment at KSW, with no clear home advantage; travel and other external impacts are minimal.
  • Both fighters are motivated to advance their standing in KSW, but Masaev's recent winning streak and heavier favor in odds suggest higher confidence and momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Adam Masaev: -410, Maciej Kazieczko: 280 Adam Masaev β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Adam Masaev -1.5 rounds: -150, Maciej Kazieczko +1.5 rounds: +130 Adam Masaev -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Adam Masaev -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Adam Masaev at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Adam Masaev wins by moneyline due to superior recent form, skill level, and strong betting market consensus despite the high payout offered on Kazieczko for an upset.

Predicted Score: Adam Masaev wins by TKO in Round 2


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Valeriu Mircea vs. Wilson Varela Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Valeriu Mircea vs Wilson Varela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: KSW Event Venue

Game Overview

Valeriu Mircea faces Wilson Varela in a KSW MMA matchup. Mircea enters as favorite (-220) with slightly better recent form and home advantage, while Varela is an underdog (+185) known for late-fight stoppages, primarily via KO/TKO.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mircea has demonstrated consistent recent performances with a strong ground game and solid defense. Varela's recent wins feature knockout power but have shown occasional stamina concerns in late rounds.
  • No recorded recent direct matchups between Mircea and Varela, making analyses reliant on style and recent performances.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both are likely at full health and training capacity.
  • Fight taking place at a neutral KSW venue with no significant external pressures or location-based advantages other than Mircea possibly having slight crowd support.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated; Mircea aims to solidify his position as a top contender while Varela seeks to upset the favorite with his dynamic striking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -220, away: +185 Valeriu Mircea β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread home -1.5 rounds: -140, away +1.5 rounds: +110 Valeriu Mircea -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under over 2.5 rounds: -125, under 2.5 rounds: +105 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Valeriu Mircea -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Valeriu Mircea at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Valeriu Mircea to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Valeriu Mircea wins by decision or late stoppage in round 2 or 3


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Krystian Kaszubowski vs. Dawid Kuczmarski Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Krystian Kaszubowski vs Dawid Kuczmarski – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: KSW Event Venue (exact location not specified)

Game Overview

Krystian Kaszubowski faces Dawid Kuczmarski in a welterweight main card KSW fight featuring contrasting styles: Kaszubowski with a striking and stand-up advantage versus Kuczmarski's strong grappling background.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kaszubowski has shown reliable striking and stand-up control in recent bouts, maintaining a consistent form. Kuczmarski excels in grappling and ground control but has slightly less finishing power from stand-up.
  • No documented direct head-to-head matchup found, making recent form and style matchup the main analytic focus.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full health.
  • Both fighters compete in KSW, a significant promotion providing a motivated platform. Weight and conditioning reported normal for match day.
  • Both fighters motivated to climb rankings; Kaszubowski may have marginally higher motivation due to recent wins and home crowd advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -135, away: -105 Krystian Kaszubowski β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Kaszubowski -1.5 rounds: -150, Kuczmarski +1.5 rounds: +130 Kaszubowski -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: +120, Under 2.5 rounds: -140 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Krystian Kaszubowski 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Krystian Kaszubowski at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline prediction favors Krystian Kaszubowski due to stand-up control and consistency. Spread favors Kaszubowski to win by decision or stoppage within 3 rounds. Over/Under set with expectation of moderate fight length, favoring Under 2.5 rounds due to grappling battles potentially slowing pace.

Predicted Score: Kaszubowski wins by decision or TKO within 3 rounds


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