Match Analysis: UL Monroe Warhawks vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-28
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Malone Stadium, Monroe, Louisiana
Game Overview
The 2025 season opener features UL Monroe Warhawks hosting St. Francis (PA) Red Flash for their first-ever meeting. UL Monroe is an FBS team in the Sun Belt Conference, expected to dominate as a home favorite against the FCS-level Red Flash from the Northeast Conference. This game is an opportunity for UL Monroe to assert early-season dominance while St. Francis seeks to prove competitiveness at a higher level of college football.
Key Factors to Consider
- UL Monroe is stepping into the 2025 season with a full FBS schedule including tough Sun Belt opponents. The Warhawks come in as heavy favorites with odds reflecting their substantially higher competitive level. St. Francis enters as an underdog from a smaller FCS conference with less depth and comparatively weaker schedule strength.
- This is the first-ever matchup between UL Monroe Warhawks and St. Francis (PA) Red Flash with no prior head-to-head history.
- No specific injury reports are available for either team at this time as it is the season opener and no live updates on player conditions have been published.
- The game is played at UL Monroe's home stadium, Malone Stadium, giving the Warhawks familiar home-field advantage. Weather or other environmental factors were not reported. Ticket sales and fan support favor the home team.
- UL Monroe aims to start their season strongly on home turf against an FCS opponent, while St. Francis aims to make a statement with an upset, overcoming the perceived disparity in division ranking and talent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | UL Monroe Warhawks: -8000, St. Francis (PA) Red Flash: 2200 | UL Monroe Warhawks win | โ โ โ โ โ 96% |
| Spread | UL Monroe Warhawks: -24.5 -110, St. Francis (PA) Red Flash: +24.5 -110 | UL Monroe covers the 24.5 point spread | โ โ โ โ โ 90% |
| Over/under | Over: 45.5 -110, Under: 45.5 -110 | Under 45.5 total points | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UL Monroe Warhawks -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 45.5 24% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UL Monroe is heavily favored to win decisively given their FBS status, superior depth, home advantage, and very strong moneyline odds. St. Francis is likely to struggle against the physicality and pace of UL Monroe's team.
Predicted Score: UL Monroe Warhawks 38 – 10 St. Francis (PA) Red Flash