Match Analysis: Toronto Blue Jays vs San Francisco Giants – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-18
- Time: 11:07 PM UTC
- Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
Game Overview
This MLB clash features the Toronto Blue Jays hosting the San Francisco Giants. The Blue Jays lead the standings with a strong home record and momentum, while the Giants are underdogs seeking to disrupt the hosts' dominance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Toronto enters on a 7-game home winning streak and has won 7 of their last 10 overall. San Francisco has a 52-45 record but struggles offensively and is underdog. Toronto pitcher Chris Bassitt (9-4, 4.12 ERA) is in contrast to Giants' Justin Verlander (0-7, 4.81 ERA).
- Blue Jays have won 4 of the last 6 meetings, including 2 at home. Giants have 6 wins all-time in recent H2H but Toronto has edged the Giants recently with a 5-3 victory on July 11, 2024.
- No major injury news reported for both teams; Blue Jays have some inconsistency in relief pitching.
- The game is at Toronto’s Rogers Centre, favoring the Blue Jays due to their strong home form and local fan support. Weather and venue conditions expected stable with no adverse effects.
- Toronto is motivated to maintain their division lead and home dominance. Giants aim to gain ground but face challenges with current pitching and offensive form.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Toronto -143, San Francisco +118 | Toronto Blue Jays | ★★★★☆ 76% |
Spread | Toronto -1.5 +148, San Francisco +1.5 -181 | Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 -114, Under 8.5 -107 | Under 8.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Toronto Blue Jays 2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 16% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Blue Jays to win outright, covering the spread at -1.5 runs, and the game to finish under 8.5 total runs.
Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 5 – San Francisco Giants 3