Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney Roosters - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-18
- Time: 8:00 AM UTC
- Location: Cronulla, New South Wales, Australia
Game Overview
The match between the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks and the Sydney Roosters is a key NRL fixture, with both teams looking to strengthen their standings mid-season. The Sharks play at home, giving them a slight edge, while the Roosters are coming off recent challenges related to player availability due to State of Origin commitments.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cronulla Sharks have shown more consistent form recently, benefitting from fewer key player absences, whereas the Sydney Roosters have been impacted by State of Origin call-ups which have weakened their squad depth and performance.
- Historically, matches between these two sides are tightly contested, but the Sharks have edged slightly ahead in recent encounters, including a home advantage that boosts their chances.
- The Roosters are notably affected by several Origin call-ups, reducing their top-tier player availability and weakening key positions; the Sharks report a relatively healthy roster with no major absences.
- Playing at home in favorable weather and venue conditions benefits the Sharks. The Roosters additionally face travel fatigue and team cohesion challenges following recent representative fixtures.
- The Sharks are motivated to capitalize on their home advantage to secure a win and improve league position, while the Roosters aim to overcome adversity but are under increased pressure to regain form.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -148, Sydney Roosters: 128, Draw: 2100 | Cronulla Sutherland Sharks | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -3.5: -115, Sydney Roosters +3.5: -115 | Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 | Over 46.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 46.5 7% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cronulla Sharks to win outright, cover the -3.5 spread, and the total score to go over 46.5 points.
Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 26 - 18 Sydney Roosters
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