Match Analysis: Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-13
- Time: 5:40 PM UTC
- Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio
Game Overview
The Cincinnati Reds host the Colorado Rockies in this MLB matchup. Cincinnati enters as a clear favorite at home with superior recent form and pitching matchup advantages.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Reds hold a 49-47 record and have shown solid form at home, while the Rockies are struggling with a poor 22-73 record. Cincinnatiβs offense and pitching have been more consistent, especially against weaker opponents like Colorado.
- Recent series between these teams have been competitive but Cincinnati holds an edge in home games. The Reds have covered the -1.5 spread multiple times against the Rockies in recent matchups.
- No major injuries reported for Cincinnati impacting the starting lineup or rotation. The Rockies also lack key players but their overall roster depth is weaker.
- Game played at Cincinnatiβs home ballpark favors the Reds due to ballpark factors and fan support. Weather conditions expected to be neutral without significant influence.
- Cincinnati is motivated to solidify their winning record and gain momentum mid-season, while the Rockies are largely out of playoff contention and may experiment with lineups.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Cincinnati Reds -225, Colorado Rockies +201 | Cincinnati Reds | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Reds -1.5 (-113), Rockies +1.5 (-107) | Cincinnati Reds -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 9.5 (-120), Under 9.5 (100) | Under 9.5 | β β β ββ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Cincinnati Reds -0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 9.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cincinnati Reds win outright on the moneyline; Reds to cover the -1.5 runline; Under 9.5 runs total
Predicted Score: Reds 5, Rockies 3