Match Analysis: Juventus vs Parma – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Allianz Stadium, Turin, Italy
Game Overview
Juventus faces Parma in a Serie A fixture at Allianz Stadium on August 24, 2025. Juventus currently ranks 11th, and Parma ranks 13th in the league, both looking to improve their standings early in the season. Historically, Juventus has dominated the head-to-head record. Parma has shown resilience but struggles against Juventus at this venue.
Key Factors to Consider
- Juventus has a mixed recent form with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches, averaging 2.8 goals scored and conceding 1.8 per match. Parma has 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses recently, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Juventus tends to have a slight edge in performance consistency and home advantage.
- Out of 31 matches since 2003, Juventus won 17, Parma won 5, and 9 ended in draws. Juventus scored a total of 63 goals versus Parma's 33. Recent encounters favor Juventus with 4 wins to Parma's 1 in their last 6 meetings and 3 draws, reinforcing Juventus as the historical favorite.
- No specific injury information is provided in the data; however, monitoring close to match time is advised to confirm squad availability for both teams.
- Playing at Allianz Stadium with home support favors Juventus. No notable external disruptions or weather concerns reported. The early season timing may affect team rhythm and fitness levels.
- Juventus aims to climb from mid-table and maintain home dominance, while Parma seeks to capitalize on opportunities to upset a stronger opponent and secure points to improve league standing.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Juventus: -240, Parma: 650, Draw: 372 | Juventus win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Juventus: -1.25 -105, Parma: +1.25 -115 | Juventus -1.25 spread | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.75 -105, Under: 2.75 -115 | Over 2.75 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Juventus -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Juventus is expected to win based on historical dominance, current form, home advantage, and superior team quality. A moderately confident prediction favors Juventus to win comfortably but not by an excessively high margin.
Predicted Score: 2-1