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San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 11:36 PM UTC
  • Location: PETCO Park, San Diego, California

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies (54-40) visit the San Diego Padres (51-43) at PETCO Park. The Phillies enter as slight favorites on the moneyline driven by strong starting pitching and balanced offense, while the Padres hold a better home record. Both teams have comparable recent form, making this a competitive matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Phillies have a superior record on the road (54-40 overall) versus Padres' 30-17 home record. Phillies rank higher in batting average and on-base percentage and have a lower team ERA (starter Zack Wheeler 2.17 ERA vs Padres' Yu Darvish 4.91 ERA). Both teams have similar recent form with Phillies on a 5-5 last 10 games and Padres 6-4.
  • Recent head-to-head stats show the Phillies with an edge in run differential and pitching matchups, including Zack Wheeler's strong performance against the Padres.
  • Phillies are missing Andrew Nola (ankle, IL60), Padres missing Michael King (shoulder, IL60). Phillies' starting rotation remains largely intact which is critical for this matchup.
  • Game played at Padres' home park PETCO, which usually favors pitchers due to park factors. Weather and other environmental conditions are not expected to impact the game significantly.
  • Phillies are competing for playoff positioning in a tight NL East race, providing high motivation. Padres are also fighting for postseason spot but have a less consistent recent streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline PHI -162 / SD +136 Philadelphia Phillies ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread PHI -1.5 +112 / SD +1.5 -134 Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 7.5 -110 / Under 7.5 -110 Over 7.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 7.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 7.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Phillies to win outright on the moneyline, covering the run line with runs over 7.5 total in the game.

Predicted Score: Phillies 5, Padres 3


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San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Match Analysis: San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-07-12 Time: 11:36 PM UTC Location: PETCO Park, San Diego, California Game Overview The Philadelphia Phillies (54-40) visit the San Diego Padres (51-43) at PETCO Park. The Phillies enter as slight favorites on the moneyline driven by strong starting pitching and balanced […]

Baseball July 12, 2025 Philadelphia Phillies San Diego Padres

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Oakland Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Oakland Athletics vs Toronto Blue Jays – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 2:06 AM UTC
  • Location: Sutter Health Park, West Sacramento, CA

Game Overview

The Oakland Athletics (39-57) face the Toronto Blue Jays (55-39) in an MLB matchup where Toronto is favored despite being the road team. Oakland is struggling with inconsistency and a negative run differential, while Toronto rides positive momentum after a strong run through late June and early July.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toronto ranks 11th in MLB in runs per game (4.59), with a pitching staff ERA of 4.13 (20th). Oakland averages 3.88 runs per game, but their recent 10-game stretch saw a 5.3 run offense and 4.9 runs allowed, showing minor offensive improvement but persistent defensive issues. On the mound, Kevin Gausman (TOR, 6-6, 4.13 ERA) faces Jacob Lopez (OAK, 2-5, 4.26 ERA), with similar seasonal stats but Toronto’s superior bullpen and offense.
  • Toronto leads the all-time series with 55 wins to Oakland’s 38. Their recent games have been close (last meeting: 7-6 TOR), but Toronto has held the upper hand, especially in late innings and against Oakland’s bullpen. Oakland is 28-28 at home vs. TOR, showing historical parity, but recent form favors Toronto.
  • No major injuries reported for either team’s key players in starting lineups or bullpen for this matchup[3].
  • Game is played at Sutter Health Park, a neutral environment for Oakland, which still offers a slight home advantage. Weather is expected to be mild, with no significant influence on game outcome.
  • Oakland seeks to break a recent losing streak against Toronto and improve their league standing, while Toronto aims to maintain momentum and solidify their playoff position[2].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Oakland Athletics +130, Toronto Blue Jays -154 Toronto Blue Jays ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Oakland Athletics 1.5 (-120), Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (100) Oakland Athletics +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 10.5 (-105), Under 10.5 (-115) Over 10.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toronto Blue Jays -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 10.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 10.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toronto Blue Jays are favored to win on the road, but Oakland’s recent offensive uptick may keep the game close. The combined run total is expected to push over the bookmakers’ line given both teams’ recent scoring trends and starting pitcher matchups.

Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 6, Oakland Athletics 5


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Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Los Angeles Angels vs Arizona Diamondbacks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-13
  • Time: 1:39 AM UTC
  • Location: Angel Stadium, Los Angeles

Game Overview

The Los Angeles Angels host the Arizona Diamondbacks in a closely matched contest, both teams holding similar season records (46-48 for Angels and 46-49 for Diamondbacks). Pitching matchup features Angels' Yusei Kikuchi, strong at home with a 1.69 ERA, against Diamondbacks' Zac Gallen, who has shown improvement but still faces some trust issues. The betting market shows near-even moneyline odds and a moderately low total runs line at 8.5, reflecting balanced expectations.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Angels have a slight recent edge at 7-3 in their last 10 games compared to Diamondbacks' 5-5. Angels are notably better at home (22-22) while Diamondbacks are slightly subpar away (23-24). The Angels have won 6 of the last 10 head-to-head and are favored by their home pitching advantage.
  • Angels have won the last two meetings in Los Angeles and lead recent encounters 6-4 overall. Matches have tended to go over the total (7-3 in last 10), indicating scoring potential, but recent trends suggest some tightening of pitching.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side impacting starting pitchers or key lineup players, enabling lineups to be near full strength.
  • Playing at Angel Stadium favors the Angels, who have shown strong home pitching. Weather not expected to play a significant role. Bullpen trends favor Angels with a more stable relief staff.
  • Both teams closely matched in standings, likely motivated to secure a crucial midseason win. The Angels, coming off a walk-off loss, will be eager to leverage home advantage and recent form to avoid a series deficit.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arizona Diamondbacks -108, Los Angeles Angels -108 Los Angeles Angels ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 +150, Los Angeles Angels +1.5 -182 Los Angeles Angels +1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 8.5 -122, Under 8.5 +100 Under 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Los Angeles Angels 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Los Angeles Angels moneyline win

Predicted Score: Los Angeles Angels 4 – Arizona Diamondbacks 2


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Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 11:36 PM UTC
  • Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX

Game Overview

The Houston Astros host the Texas Rangers in a tightly contested MLB matchup featuring strong starting pitching from Framber Valdez (Astros) and Jacob deGrom (Rangers). The Astros enter favored based on home advantage and recent form, but the Rangers have shown resilience and value on the run line.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Astros have a 55-39 overall record, performing well at home (32-18). They possess a strong pitching staff and consistent offense, ranking middle in batting average and on-base percentage. Rangers are near .500 (47-48) and rely on key hitters like Wyatt Langford and Corey Seager to produce runs.
  • Recent simulations and models give Astros a win probability between 53% and 59%, with the Rangers having about a 41-47% chance. The run line has shown value for Rangers with a 66% chance to cover (+1.5).
  • No significant injury information impacting starting pitchers or core lineup for either team was noted.
  • Game played at Minute Maid Park, favoring Astros who have a strong home record. Weather and other conditions expected neutral.
  • Astros currently positioned stronger in standings, aiming to maintain momentum. Rangers motivated to upset on the road to improve their record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Houston -120, Texas +102 Houston Astros ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Astros -1.5 -250, Rangers +1.5 +202 Texas Rangers +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 66%
Over/under Over 6.5 -115, Under 6.5 -105 Over 6.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 53%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Houston Astros 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 6.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Houston Astros at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Astros moneyline win with confidence in home pitching advantage; Rangers to cover the +1.5 run line offers good value; total runs expected to go over 6.5 given offensive capabilities and pitching matchups.

Predicted Score: Astros 4, Rangers 3


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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 8:11 PM UTC
  • Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Game Overview

MLB matchup where the Milwaukee Brewers, leading the standings with a strong home record, face the struggling Washington Nationals seeking to recover from recent losses. The Brewers have a notable pitching advantage with Brandon Woodruff against Nationals rookie Shinnosuke Ogasawara.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brewers hold a solid 54-40 season record with excellent home form (31-17), while Nationals are 38-56 overall and on a losing streak, highlighting a clear discrepancy in form.
  • Historically, Brewers lead the series 35-28 with dominance at home (21 wins). Last meeting was won narrowly by Nationals 4-3, but recent encounters favor the Brewers.
  • No major injuries reported impacting starting pitchers or key lineups for either side.
  • Game played on artificial turf at Brewers' home field, favoring their style of play. Weather and other conditions stable with no adverse reports.
  • Brewers motivated to consolidate top standings and continue strong home dominance. Nationals driven to halt losing streak and build momentum before upcoming home series.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Milwaukee Brewers -255, Washington Nationals +210 Milwaukee Brewers ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 -115, Washington Nationals +1.5 -104 Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 8.5 -104, Under 8.5 -118 Over 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Milwaukee Brewers -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Milwaukee Brewers win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run spread, and the total runs will go over 8.5

Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 6, Washington Nationals 3


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Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 8:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Kauffman Stadium

Game Overview

The Kansas City Royals host the New York Mets in an intriguing MLB matchup. The Royals arrive on a 4-game winning streak with solid home form, while the Mets seek to stabilize after recent losses. Both teams have similar scoring averages, and the pitching matchup features Lorenzen for KC and Montas for NY, both having struggled somewhat this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Royals have won 7 of their last 10 games but hold an overall near .500 record (46-49). Mets are 54-41 and coming off an 8-3 win vs Royals in the previous game, but have shown inconsistency recently.
  • The Mets won the last meeting on April 14 (2-1). Royals have 4 recent home wins over Mets, while Mets have 5 overall wins including 2 on the road. Royals average 4.78 runs per game, Mets 4.33.
  • No major injury reports impacting starting lineups or pitchers noted for either team.
  • Game played at Royals' home Kauffman Stadium, which has historically favored the Royals in recent home meetings. Weather conditions and other external influences appear neutral.
  • Royals motivated to maintain momentum and climb standings; Mets motivated to rebound after recent losses and solidify playoff positioning before All-Star break.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kansas City Royals +108, New York Mets -126 New York Mets ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Royals +1.5 -146, Mets -1.5 +122 New York Mets -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 9.5 -105, Under 9.5 -115 Over 9.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York Mets -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 9.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New York Mets win on the moneyline with a close game and total runs over 9.5.

Predicted Score: Royals 4 – Mets 6


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Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 8:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Game Overview

The Boston Red Sox host the Tampa Bay Rays in an AL East showdown at Fenway Park. Boston arrives in excellent form, riding an eight-game winning streak, while Tampa Bay seeks to recover after recent losses in the series. Both teams have strong pitching, but Boston's recent offensive production and home advantage give them an edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Boston Red Sox have won 9 of their last 10 games, averaging 7.4 runs scored and allowing only 3.4 runs. Tampa Bay Rays are struggling in this series and aim for their first win in four games against Boston.
  • Boston holds a solid historical advantage with 76 wins in head-to-head matchups, including 40 at home. Their last meeting ended in a narrow 5-4 Boston victory on the same date.
  • No major injury reports impacting key players for either team at this time.
  • Fenway Park's home advantage historically benefits Boston, and the game-time weather conditions appear stable with no adverse effects expected.
  • Boston is motivated by their winning streak and the need to maintain position in the division race. Tampa Bay wants to halt Boston's momentum and improve morale.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Boston Red Sox -190, Tampa Bay Rays +160 Boston Red Sox ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Boston Red Sox -1.5 +114, Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 -137 Boston Red Sox -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 8 -114, Under 8 -106 Under 8 runs ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Boston Red Sox -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Boston Red Sox to win straight up, cover the -1.5 run line, and the total to go under 8 runs.

Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 5 – Tampa Bay Rays 3


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Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 8:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio

Game Overview

The Cincinnati Reds host the Colorado Rockies in a pivotal MLB matchup. The Reds are slightly above .500 and motivated to secure a winning record going into the break, while the Rockies struggle with a poor season and road form. The Reds are favored at home with stronger recent pitching and offensive potential against the Rockies’ struggling pitching staff.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cincinnati Reds hold a 48-47 season record with inconsistent recent form (4-6 last 10 games). They average around 4 runs per game but allow slightly more (4.5). Rockies are last in MLB with a 22-72 record, poor pitching (5.66 ERA, 1.57 WHIP), and weak offense (.230 average). Rockies recently won a close game vs Reds but generally on a 6-series losing streak.
  • Reds lead the all-time H2H series with 35 wins to Rockies’ 34, including 19 at home. Their last meeting was a narrow 3-2 Rockies win, but Reds average slightly higher runs per game at home (5.97) compared to Rockies visiting average (5.67).
  • No major injury reports impacting starting lineups or pitching staffs for either team noted in recent data.
  • Playing at Great American Ball Park favors the Reds with home crowd and park factors benefiting offense. Rockies face tough travel and have shown poor road performance (12 road wins).
  • Reds are motivated to guarantee a winning record before the break, showing urgency to bounce back after a narrow loss in the series opener. Rockies aim to break their lengthy losing streak but face psychological disadvantage and roster limitations.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cincinnati Reds: -310, Colorado Rockies: +250 Cincinnati Reds ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (-162), Colorado Rockies +1.5 (+134) Cincinnati Reds -1.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 10 (-122), Under 10 (+100) Over 10 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cincinnati Reds 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 10 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 10 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cincinnati Reds will win the moneyline and cover the -1.5 runline with a moderately high scoring game over the total of 10 runs.

Predicted Score: Cincinnati Reds 6 – Colorado Rockies 3


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Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 8:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago

Game Overview

The Cleveland Guardians visit the Chicago White Sox for the third game in a four-game AL Central series at Guaranteed Rate Field. Both teams are vying for divisional advantage heading into the All-Star break with the Guardians slightly favored due to better overall performance this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Guardians hold an overall better season record and have more consistent pitching and offense, while White Sox have struggled with a 32-63 record and weaker bullpen. Both teams split a doubleheader the previous day, but Guardians have shown stronger recent form.
  • White Sox lead all-time series 70-66 but the Guardians lead on road wins (40-33). They split the recent matchups with a narrow White Sox win 5-4 on July 12. Guardians tend to average slightly more runs per game (4.28 vs. 3.71).
  • No major injury reports significantly impacting either team available, both teams are expected to field near full-strength lineups.
  • Game played at White Sox home park which could give slight advantage to Chicago; weather and field conditions typical for mid-July, no disruptive factors reported.
  • Guardians aim to solidify divisional lead and build momentum before break, White Sox motivated to improve poor season form and avoid further losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chicago White Sox +126, Cleveland Guardians -148 Cleveland Guardians ★★★★☆ 73%
Spread White Sox +1.5 -137, Guardians -1.5 +114 Guardians -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 8.5 -110, Under 8.5 -110 Over 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cleveland Guardians -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Guardians Moneyline

Predicted Score: Guardians 5 – White Sox 3


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Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 8:06 PM UTC
  • Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland

Game Overview

The Baltimore Orioles host the Miami Marlins in a mid-table MLB clash. Baltimore holds a slight edge at home and recent form favors them marginally, with both teams showing offensive capability but inconsistent recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Baltimore Orioles have won 6 of their last 7 games, showing strong home form. Miami Marlins have struggled with inconsistency and are underdogs in this match.
  • Baltimore leads the recent head-to-head with 11 wins versus Marlins' 16 overall, including 8 wins at home against Miami. The previous meeting ended with a 5-2 Orioles victory.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either team before the game, both likely at near full strength.
  • Game played at Orioles' home ballpark, which favors Baltimore. Weather and other external conditions are typical for July in Baltimore, no major impact expected.
  • Baltimore is motivated to solidify their playoff position after recent strong performances; Miami is looking to bounce back but is currently the underdog.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Baltimore Orioles -166, Miami Marlins +140 Baltimore Orioles ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Baltimore Orioles -1.5 at 116, Miami Marlins +1.5 at -140 Baltimore Orioles -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 9 at -112, Under 9 at -108 Over 9 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Baltimore Orioles -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 9 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, and the total runs to go over 9

Predicted Score: Baltimore Orioles 6 – Miami Marlins 3


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