Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-12
- Time: 6:16 PM UTC
- Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Game Overview
The St. Louis Cardinals host the Atlanta Braves in a pivotal MLB matchup as both teams pursue playoff positioning. The Cardinals, holding a 50-44 record, have struggled recently, especially at home, while the Braves look to improve after a recent loss and have edged the Cardinals in their last encounter.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cardinals have been inconsistent with a 4-6 recent record and struggle defensively at home, allowing 5.2 runs per game, while averaging 3.2 runs. Braves have shown resilience but are underdogs here.
- Historically close matchup with Cardinals holding a slight edge (50-47). Braves won the last meeting 4-1 on April 23, demonstrating recent offensive edge.
- No critical injuries reported that drastically affect starting pitchers or key lineup players for either team at this time.
- Game at Cardinals’ home Busch Stadium offers slight advantage; no major weather or travel concerns reported.
- Both teams are motivated for playoff contention, with the Cardinals aiming to assert home dominance and the Braves seeking redemption from recent losses.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals -126, Atlanta Braves +108 | St. Louis Cardinals | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | Atlanta Braves +1.5 -178, St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 +146 | St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 9.5 +100, Under 9.5 -122 | Under 9.5 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals 8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 9.5 9% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: St. Louis Cardinals to win
Predicted Score: St. Louis Cardinals 5 – Atlanta Braves 3