Match Analysis: New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-12
- Time: 5:06 PM UTC
- Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Game Overview
The New York Yankees host the Chicago Cubs for the second game of their three-game MLB series. Max Fried starts for the Yankees, while Pete Crow-Armstrong takes the mound for the Cubs. The Yankees are favorites with negative moneyline odds, reflecting their recent superior form and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Yankees have been strong recently, with Max Fried winning his last six starts against the Cubs. Cody Bellinger is hitting well with multiple runs scored in recent games. The Cubs struggle offensively and enter as underdogs.
- Yankees have dominated recent H2H pitching matchups, with Fried notably successful against Chicago's lineup. Aaron Judge has an excellent personal slugging record against Cubs' pitching.
- No major injury concerns reported for either team that would impact the starting pitchers or key offensive players.
- Game played at Yankee Stadium favors New York due to home advantage. Weather and field conditions reported typical for July with no adverse impact expected.
- Yankees are pushing for division positioning and have motivation to maintain form at home. Cubs are seeking upset but face challenge in away environment with inferior recent form.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Yankees -164, Cubs +138 | Yankees | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Yankees -1.5 +126, Cubs +1.5 -152 | Yankees -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 +100, Under 8.5 -122 | Under 8.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Yankees -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 0% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Yankees to win moneyline; Yankees -1.5 on the spread; total runs under 8.5
Predicted Score: Yankees 4, Cubs 2