Match Analysis: Corinthians vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-13
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo, Brazil
Game Overview
Serie A clash between Corinthians and Bragantino-SP. Corinthians sits in 10th place with 16 points; Bragantino-SP ranks 3rd with 23 points. Corinthians have been involved in many draws recently, while Bragantino-SP have a strong league performance but recent form is less consistent.
Key Factors to Consider
- Corinthians have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in last 5 games (GD +2, avg 1.4 goals/match). Bragantino-SP also have 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in last 5 (GD -1, avg 1 goal/match). Corinthians unbeaten in 19 of last 20 home games, last 4 home matches under 2.5 goals[1][3].
- Bragantino-SP have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Corinthians have struggled in recent H2H matchups[1].
- No major injuries reported for either side.
- Corinthians playing at home, where they are historically strong[1].
- Bragantino-SP aiming to stay near top of table, Corinthians eager to climb to mid-table.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Corinthians: 110, Bragantino-SP: 265, Draw: 230 | Draw | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Spread | Bragantino-SP: +25 102, Corinthians: -0.25 -122 | Bragantino-SP +0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Over/under | Over 2: -125, Under 2: 105 | Under 2 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Corinthians 25% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 31% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Corinthians are favorites due to home strength and recent form, but market odds undervalue Bragantino-SP's consistency and H2H edge. However, home advantage and low-scoring home trend are key.
Predicted Score: 0-0