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Erik Badillo vs. Gerardo Zapata Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Erik Badillo vs Gerardo Zapata - Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Save Mart Arena, Fresno, California, USA

Game Overview

This WBC light flyweight title eliminator features unbeaten Erik Badillo (17-0, 8 KOs) facing Gerardo Zapata (15-2-1, 5 KOs). Badillo is the WBC #2 ranked contender and favored in the matchup, while Zapata is ranked #8. The bout is scheduled for 12 rounds with the winner becoming the mandatory challenger for the WBC light flyweight title.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Badillo remains undefeated and has shown strong recent form with a high KO ratio (8 KOs in 17 fights). Zapata has two losses and one draw with fewer knockouts, indicating slightly less finishing power.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups between Badillo and Zapata, making this a first-time encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Fight location in Fresno, CA provides neutral ground without a strong hometown advantage; both fighters highly motivated given the title eliminator stakes.
  • Both fighters highly motivated, but Badillo’s undefeated record and higher ranking suggest extra pressure and focus to maintain unbeaten status and secure a title shot.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Erik Badillo: -700, Gerardo Zapata: +450 Erik Badillo ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Badillo -1.5 rounds: -150, Zapata +1.5 rounds: +130 Badillo -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 7.5 rounds: -110, Under 7.5 rounds: -110 Under 7.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Erik Badillo -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Erik Badillo at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Erik Badillo to win on the moneyline given his undefeated status, higher WBC ranking, and superior recent performance.

Predicted Score: Badillo wins by unanimous decision or late-round stoppage around Round 10

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Erik Badillo vs. Gerardo Zapata Prediction

Match Analysis: Erik Badillo vs Gerardo Zapata – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-07-12 Time: 12:00 AM UTC Location: Save Mart Arena, Fresno, California, USA Game Overview This WBC light flyweight title eliminator features unbeaten Erik Badillo (17-0, 8 KOs) facing Gerardo Zapata (15-2-1, 5 KOs). Badillo is the WBC #2 ranked contender and favored in […]

Boxing Erik Badillo Gerardo Zapata July 13, 2025

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Mohammed Alakel vs. Placido Hoff Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mohammed Alakel vs Placido Hoff – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: New York City

Game Overview

Mohammed Alakel, a 4-0 lightweight prospect, faces Placido Hoff, who has a record of 2-3-1, in a six-round bout on the undercard of The Ring III show. Alakel is fighting outside Saudi Arabia for the first time.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mohammed Alakel is undefeated with a strong start to his career, while Placido Hoff has a less impressive record.
  • No previous head-to-head matches have been reported.
  • No significant injury concerns for either fighter have been mentioned.
  • Alakel's first fight outside Saudi Arabia could bring additional pressure or exposure.
  • Both fighters are motivated, but Alakel might have higher expectations due to his undefeated status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mohammed Alakel: -4000, Placido Hoff: 1400 Mohammed Alakel ★★★★★ 95%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mohammed Alakel -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mohammed Alakel at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mohammed Alakel to win by a unanimous decision.

Predicted Score: Mohammed Alakel wins by unanimous decision (60-54, 60-54, 59-55)


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Katsuma Akitsugi vs. Jonas Sultan Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Katsuma Akitsugi vs Jonas Sultan – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 12, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Save Mart Arena, Fresno, California

Game Overview

A highly anticipated matchup between undefeated Katsuma Akitsugi and former world title challenger Jonas Sultan. Akitsugi, with a strong undefeated record, faces Sultan, who is staged a comeback after over a year of inactivity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Akitsugi is undefeated with 12 wins, including a recent sixth-round knockout of Aston Palicte. Sultan has a mixed record of 19-7, recently losing to Riku Masuda.
  • No direct head-to-head history, but Akitsugi has been a sparring partner of Sultan in the past.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Sultan trains at Wild Card Gym with renowned boxers, while Akitsugi has been based in the US.
  • Sultan is highly motivated to regain prominence after a long layoff, while Akitsugi seeks to maintain his undefeated status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Katsuma Akitsugi: -1000, Jonas Sultan: +550 Katsuma Akitsugi ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Katsuma Akitsugi -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Katsuma Akitsugi at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Katsuma Akitsugi will win the bout.

Predicted Score: Akitsugi wins by unanimous decision.


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Reito Tsutsumi vs. Michael Ruiz Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Reito Tsutsumi vs Michael Ruiz – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hard Rock Cafe – Times Square, New York City

Game Overview

Reito Tsutsumi enters as a heavy favorite against Michael Ruiz, leveraging superior technique, recent winning momentum, and physical condition advantages. Ruiz has a significantly weaker record and limited recent success, making Tsutsumi the clear frontrunner.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tsutsumi is undefeated with a 1-0 record and shows strong recent form; Ruiz holds a 2-7-1 record indicating struggles and lower technical ability.
  • No direct prior matchups reported between Tsutsumi and Ruiz, making this their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries on either side; both fighters weighed in without physical depletion concerns.
  • The fight is held in New York City, which is neutral territory for both fighters, minimizing home advantage effects.
  • Tsutsumi, with a perfect record and upward trajectory, is highly motivated to maintain his streak. Ruiz faces pressure to break a losing pattern but has less momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tsutsumi: -8000, Ruiz: +1900 Reito Tsutsumi ★★★★★ 92%
Spread Tsutsumi -3.5 rounds Tsutsumi -3.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Under 6.5 rounds Under 6.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Reito Tsutsumi -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Reito Tsutsumi at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Reito Tsutsumi for a Moneyline win, covering the spread by at least 3.5 rounds, and for the fight to go under 6.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Reito Tsutsumi wins by stoppage in round 5


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Carlos Balderas vs. Salvador Briceno Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Carlos Balderas vs Salvador Briceno – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: TBD

Game Overview

Carlos Balderas faces Salvador Briceno in a super lightweight boxing bout. Balderas comes in as a dominant favorite with heavy betting support, reflecting his superior recent form and experience at higher competition levels.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Carlos Balderas has demonstrated strong recent performances, maintaining an undefeated or near-undefeated record at professional levels with notable technical skill and ring control. Salvador Briceno, while a credible opponent, has a less consistent track record and fewer high-profile wins.
  • There is no significant historical head-to-head data between Balderas and Briceno, indicating this may be their first matchup.
  • No public reports of injuries affecting either boxer prior to the fight, suggesting both are physically prepared.
  • The fight is held at a neutral venue without apparent external conditions favoring either boxer. Balderas is perceived as the crowd favorite and likely to receive mental advantage.
  • Balderas has strong motivation to maintain his rising career trajectory and prove himself against challenging opponents. Briceno may have motivation as an underdog but lacks comparable incentive or momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Carlos Balderas: -2500, Salvador Briceno: +1000 Carlos Balderas ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Balderas -4.5 rounds: -120, Briceno +4.5 rounds: +100 Balderas -4.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 6.5 rounds: -110, Under 6.5 rounds: -110 Under 6.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Carlos Balderas -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Carlos Balderas at -12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Carlos Balderas to win by decision

Predicted Score: Balderas wins by unanimous decision after 8 rounds


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Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Katie Taylor vs Amanda Serrano – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 11, 2025
  • Time: 1:34 AM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

Game Overview

This highly anticipated trilogy fight between Katie Taylor and Amanda Serrano will be an all-women's boxing event at Madison Square Garden. The undisputed junior welterweight championship is on the line, with Taylor defending her titles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters have delivered excellent performances in their previous encounters, with Taylor winning the first two fights. However, Serrano has been increasingly competitive, pushing for a more conventional 12-round format.
  • Taylor has won the first two fights, but controversies and close decisions suggest Serrano is a strong competitor. The rivalry is intense, with both fighters seeking to prove their superiority.
  • No significant injury reports have been mentioned for either fighter.
  • The fight will proceed under standard women's boxing rules with 10 two-minute rounds. The event is promoted by Most Valuable Promotions, highlighting a strong commitment to women's boxing.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Serrano expressing a desire to prove herself and Taylor seeking to cement her legacy.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -192 for Amanda Serrano, 162 for Katie Taylor Amanda Serrano High
Over/under Over 8.5 rounds: -900, Under 8.5 rounds: +550 Over 8.5 Medium

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Amanda Serrano -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Amanda Serrano is favored to win, given her determination and the close nature of previous fights.

Predicted Score: N/A (boxing is not typically scored in a traditional manner)


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Alycia Baumgardner vs. Jennifer Miranda Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alycia Baumgardner vs Jennifer Miranda – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Friday, July 12, 2025
  • Time: 1:04 AM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York

Game Overview

Alycia Baumgardner, the favorite, faces Jennifer Miranda in a 10-round Super Featherweight bout. Baumgardner boasts a record of 15 wins and 1 loss with a significant knockout advantage, while Miranda is undefeated with 12 wins but only 1 knockout. The fight is part of a notable undercard featuring Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alycia Baumgardner has a strong record with a notable power advantage, while Jennifer Miranda remains undefeated but lacks significant knockout power.
  • No previous head-to-head match between the two fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The prestige of fighting at Madison Square Garden might motivate both fighters, but Baumgardner's experience and power could provide an edge.
  • Both fighters are motivated given the high-profile nature of the event.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -2500 for Alycia Baumgardner, +900 for Jennifer Miranda Alycia Baumgardner High

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alycia Baumgardner -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Given Baumgardner's experience and power advantage, she is likely to win by knockout or a wide decision.

Predicted Score: Alycia Baumgardner by Knockout or Wide Decision


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Ellie Scotney vs. Yamileth Mercado Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ellie Scotney vs Yamileth Mercado – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-11
  • Time: 1:04 AM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York

Game Overview

Ellie Scotney (10-0-0) faces Yamileth Mercado (24-3-0) in a unification fight at super bantamweight for multiple world titles. The bout is scheduled for 10 rounds with both fighters orthodox, same age (27), but Mercado brings significantly more experience and knockout power. Scotney is undefeated but the underdog in this highly competitive matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Scotney is undefeated with technical skill and has held multiple titles (IBF, IBO, WBO). Mercado has been a pro since 2014 with a strong record and WBC title, notable for KO power (21% KO rate vs Scotney's 0%). Both boxers have similar round experience (61), but Mercado has fought more pro fights (27 more).
  • No prior fights between Scotney and Mercado, making this their first head-to-head encounter. Both are elite champions meeting in a unification bout.
  • No reported injuries or concerns for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight is on a high-profile card at Madison Square Garden, New York, with significant audience attention as part of a major female boxing event. No travel or environmental disadvantages evident.
  • Both fighters highly motivated with multiple titles on the line. Scotney aims to maintain perfect record and unify belts, Mercado looks to assert power and experience to claim undisputed status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ellie Scotney: -1800, Yamileth Mercado: 800 Yamileth Mercado High

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ellie Scotney -92%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Despite Scotney's undefeated record and height advantage, Mercado's superior experience, knockout power, and championship pedigree provide her the edge. The odds (-1800 Scotney, +800 Mercado) undervalue Mercado's potential impact in the fight. The value lies in backing Mercado on the moneyline and considering total rounds over given the expected competitiveness and Mercado's ability to deliver stoppages.

Predicted Score: Mercado wins via late-round TKO or unanimous decision, 7-9 rounds


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Tammara Thibeault vs. Mary Casamassa Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Tammara Thibeault vs Mary Casamassa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-11
  • Time: 1:04 AM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden

Game Overview

This boxing match features undefeated fighters Tammara Thibeault and Mary Casamassa, with Thibeault being the strong favorite due to her undefeated record and recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tammara Thibeault remains undefeated with a strong record, while Mary Casamassa also holds an undefeated record but has fewer bouts. Thibeault's performance suggests she is the more formidable opponent.
  • There is no previous head-to-head matchup between the two, making it difficult to assess their historical performance against each other.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight is set at 160 pounds, a weight class both fighters are familiar with.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to maintain their undefeated status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -4000 for Tammara Thibeault, +1400 for Mary Casamassa Tammara Thibeault High

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tammara Thibeault -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Tammara Thibeault is likely to win given her odds and recent performance.

Predicted Score: Tammara Thibeault win by decision or early stoppage.


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Savannah Marshall vs. Shadasia Green Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Savannah Marshall vs Shadasia Green – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City, USA

Game Overview

The fight features IBF super-middleweight champion Savannah Marshall against WBO titlist Shadasia Green on the undercard of the Katie Taylor vs Amanda Serrano III event. Marshall is returning after a long layoff of almost three years, while Green has maintained more recent activity with fights approximately every six months. Both fighters are at the top of the super-middleweight division with Marshall holding multiple titles and an unbeaten record except for one loss, and Green being an experienced, powerful fighter with a 73% KO rate.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Savannah Marshall has fought infrequently over the last four years with an average of about one fight per 10 months, totaling 28 rounds in her last five fights. In contrast, Shadasia Green has been more active, fighting every five to six months on average, totaling 44 rounds in her last five bouts. Green's fights also tend to last longer, averaging 8.8 rounds compared to Marshall's 5.6, indicating greater recent ring experience and stamina.
  • There is no record of a previous fight between Savannah Marshall and Shadasia Green to directly compare their styles or outcomes.
  • There are no publicly reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into this bout.
  • The fight being held at Madison Square Garden, a prestigious venue, and broadcast on Netflix in the US and UK adds high exposure and pressure. Marshall has recently signed promotional terms with MVP, aligning her with other top fighters, which might increase her motivation and support. The undercard positioning under a major fight may affect pacing and performance.
  • Marshall looks to re-establish herself as the world's best at 168lbs after a long absence from the ring, making this a critical comeback fight. Green, more active recently with consistent wins and a strong KO percentage, will be motivated to prove herself against a top-tier opponent and unify recognition at super middleweight.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Savannah Marshall: -650, Shadasia Green: +450 Savannah Marshall High
Spread Marshall -2.5 rounds Marshall to win by more than 2 rounds Moderate
Over/under Total rounds 7.5 Under 7.5 rounds Moderate

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Savannah Marshall -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Savannah Marshall at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Savannah Marshall is favored strongly due to her championship pedigree and power, despite the inactivity. Her technical skill and previous championship experience outweigh Green’s activity advantage. Expect Marshall to control the fight with disciplined power and ring IQ, likely winning by knockout or late stoppage.

Predicted Score: Marshall wins by 7th round TKO


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