Match Analysis: Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: July 11, 2025
- Time: 12:11 AM UTC
- Location: Kauffman Stadium
Game Overview
The New York Mets, with a 53-41 record, face the Kansas City Royals, who have a 46-48 record. The Mets are favored, but recent form and injuries may impact their performance. The Royals are coming off a strong performance by Salvador Perez.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Mets have struggled recently, losing a doubleheader on Thursday. The Royals, meanwhile, have shown resilience with key players like Salvador Perez contributing significantly.
- Recent head-to-head data is not specified, but the Mets generally have an advantage over the Royals in terms of overall team strength.
- Kodai Senga returns for the Mets, but his effectiveness after injury is uncertain.
- No significant external factors are noted, but the Royals' home advantage could play a role.
- The Mets are motivated to bounce back from recent losses, while the Royals aim to build momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | NYM: -136, KC: +116 | Kansas City Royals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | NYM: -1.5 +115, KC: +1.5 -138 | Kansas City Royals +1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 9: -120, Under 9: -102 | Under 9 | ★★★☆☆ 59% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Kansas City Royals 25% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 9 9% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Kansas City Royals at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Royal's upset potential is high due to their recent form and the Mets' struggles.
Predicted Score: Mets 4, Royals 5