Match Analysis: Sporting Kansas City vs Seattle Sounders FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-13
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City, MO, USA
Game Overview
Sporting Kansas City hosts Seattle Sounders FC in an MLS clash where Seattle enters as slight favorites in the moneyline markets, but the home side boasts a stronger recent win rate and home advantage at Children's Mercy Park.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sporting Kansas City has a higher recent win rate at 71.64%, while Seattle Sounders have a 50.82% win rate recently. Both teams have similar average goals per game, around 2.5 combined, with solid attacking output but also conceding goals.
- Seattle has a slight edge with more wins in past encounters, but Sporting Kansas City has shown resilience at home. Previous matches are fairly balanced with Sporting winning 3/10, Seattle winning 4/10, and 3 draws.
- No explicit injury updates available from the search results; assume standard squad availability for both sides.
- Playing at home is a significant factor favoring Sporting Kansas City given the venue’s capacity and atmosphere. Weather or travel fatigue does not appear to notably affect either team.
- Both teams are motivated for MLS success; however, Sporting Kansas City may have slightly higher motivation playing at home with a better recent form, while Seattle aims to assert their favoritism in the odds.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle 117, Sporting Kansas City 198, Draw 280 | Seattle Sounders FC | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | Seattle -0.5 @ 112, Sporting Kansas City +50 @ -149 | Sporting Kansas City +0.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 @ -161, Under 2.5 @ 121 | Over 2.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle Sounders FC 11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Seattle Sounders FC at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Sounders FC to win on the moneyline; Sporting Kansas City +0.5 on the spread; Over 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: Seattle Sounders FC 2 – 3 Sporting Kansas City