Match Analysis: Orlando City SC vs CF Montreal - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-12
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando, FL
Game Overview
Orlando City SC hosts CF Montreal at Inter&Co Stadium. The match features two MLS teams with contrasting recent forms and statistics, where Orlando City SC shows stronger home advantage and goal metrics.
Key Factors to Consider
- Orlando City averages 1.62 goals per game with only 1.33 conceded, showing solid defense and attack, while CF Montreal averages 1.43 goals but concedes 1.89, indicating a weaker defense. Orlando City ranks 12th in MLS with 15 goals for, CF Montreal is 29th with fewer goals and higher goals allowed.
- CF Montreal last defeated Orlando City on May 7, 2023, but since then, Orlando City has secured more recent wins against them, including friendlies and league matches, giving Orlando an edge in psychological and tactical familiarity.
- No significant injury reports available for either side at this time, suggesting both teams will likely field near-full strength squads.
- The game is played at Orlando’s home ground, providing them with home advantage, including familiar climate and fan support, which historically benefits Orlando City performance.
- Orlando City seeks to improve on their middling MLS ranking and capitalize on home advantage to secure points, while CF Montreal has struggled lately and will look to upset but face challenges on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Orlando City SC: -248, CF Montreal: +590, Draw: +390 | Orlando City SC | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Orlando City SC -1.5 @ +105, CF Montreal +1.5 @ -139 | Orlando City SC -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -179, Under 2.5 +133 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Orlando City SC -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 40% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Orlando City SC to win on the moneyline, covering the -1.5 spread, and a moderately low-scoring game under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-0
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