Match Analysis: Cherneka Johnson vs Shurretta Metcalf – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-11
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City, US
Game Overview
Cherneka Johnson challenges Shurretta Metcalf for the IB Bantamweight title with the vacant WBC and WBO bantamweight titles also on the line. The fight is scheduled for 10 rounds and takes place in a high-profile setting alongside the Katie Taylor vs Amanda Serrano 3 card at Madison Square Garden. Johnson steps in as a late replacement, adding an interesting dynamic to the matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cherneka Johnson holds a record of 17-2 with 7 KOs and has maintained activity averaging a fight every 8 months, with recent fights lasting close to full distance (9.3 rounds average). Shurretta Metcalf, with a record of 14-4-1 and 2 KOs, is the reigning IB champion and was originally scheduled to face a different opponent but retained her readiness for this bout.
- There is no documented previous head-to-head fight between Cherneka Johnson and Shurretta Metcalf, making this a fresh encounter without direct comparative data.
- No reported injuries on either side leading up to the fight. Metcalf was originally to fight another opponent who withdrew due to pregnancy; Johnson stepped in without injury concerns reported.
- The bout is held at Madison Square Garden, giving Metcalf some advantage as the defending champion on home soil. The fight is part of a strong all-female card gaining significant attention, potentially raising motivation and pressure on both fighters.
- Metcalf aims to defend her IBF title and claim the vacant WBC and WBO belts, adding to her championship legacy. Johnson, as a late replacement, has a major opportunity to claim multiple titles, likely increasing her drive to capitalize on this chance.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Cherneka Johnson: -400, Shurretta Metcalf: 300 | Cherneka Johnson to win | High |
Spread | Johnson -1.5 rounds: -150, Metcalf +1.5 rounds: +130 | Johnson to win by more than 1.5 rounds | Medium-High |
Over/under | Over 8.5 rounds: -110, Under 8.5 rounds: -110 | Over 8.5 rounds | Medium |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Cherneka Johnson -11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Cherneka Johnson at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cherneka Johnson is favored to win by decision over 10 rounds due to her recent consistent activity, durability shown in longer fights, and strong technical skills. Metcalf is a solid champion but the betting line (-400 for Johnson) undervalues Johnson’s readiness and momentum entering this fight as a top contender.
Predicted Score: Johnson wins by unanimous decision after 10 rounds