Match Analysis: Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-09
- Time: 9:11 PM UTC
- Location: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Game Overview
The Detroit Tigers host the Tampa Bay Rays in an MLB regular season match. The Tigers recently defeated the Rays 5-1 on July 7, 2025, showcasing strong pitching and timely hitting. Both teams are competitive, but the Tigers have the home advantage and recent momentum against Tampa Bay.
Key Factors to Consider
- Detroit Tigers have demonstrated solid pitching, with Keider Montero securing the win in their last meeting, and consistent offense scoring 5 runs. Tampa Bay Rays, despite having a strong lineup, were held to only 1 run and 5 hits in the last game. The Rays' starting pitcher Shane Baz took the loss and needs to rebound.
- Recent head-to-head favors the Detroit Tigers, who won the last encounter decisively by 5-1. The Tigers have taken advantage of Tampa Bay's pitching struggles, especially on the road.
- No specific injury reports are available from the data, suggesting key players for both teams are likely available.
- The game is played at Comerica Park, giving Detroit home-field advantage. Weather, crowd attendance, and playing conditions likely favor the Tigers.
- The Tigers are motivated to extend their winning streak against Tampa Bay and defend their home turf. The Rays will be eager to respond after their recent loss and stabilize their pitching staff.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Tigers: -144, Tampa Bay Rays: 122 | Detroit Tigers win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Detroit Tigers: -1.5, Detroit Tigers_odds: 150, Tampa Bay Rays: 1.5, Tampa Bay Rays_odds: -182 | Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 8: -118, Under 8: -104 | Under 8 runs | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Tigers -0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Detroit Tigers are favored to win due to recent form, home advantage, and pitching matchup. Expect a moderately low scoring game reflecting strong pitching performances. Tigers to win with a controlled margin.
Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 4 – 2 Tampa Bay Rays