Match Analysis: Ibragim Ibragimov vs Mathys Duragrin – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-05
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: ING Arena, Brussels, Belgium
Game Overview
The featherweight bout between Ibragim Ibragimov and Mathys Duragrin at PFL Europe in Brussels features two undefeated fighters — Ibragimov (9-0) from the UK and Duragrin (5-0) from France. Ibragimov, known as 'The Executioner,' is a 21-year-old Dagestani-born fighter with a strong record of technical knockouts and decisions, currently training with the Manchester Top Team. Duragrin is a promising up-and-comer with a perfect record but fewer professional fights. This contest is highly anticipated as both aim to maintain undefeated status and advance in the tournament.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ibragimov has shown consistent performance with three consecutive wins in the PFL and a strong amateur background. Duragrin, although less experienced professionally, remains undefeated and brings fresh energy as a rising talent in Europe.
- This is the first meeting between Ibragimov and Duragrin, so no direct head-to-head data is available.
- No reported injuries or medical issues affecting either fighter ahead of the match.
- The fight was originally scheduled for Paris but was rescheduled to Brussels. Ibragimov expressed some frustration over the postponement but remains motivated. The venue change may slightly influence crowd dynamics, favoring local or regional support for Duragrin (France) or Ibragimov (UK).
- Ibragimov is motivated to continue his unbeaten streak and prove himself within the PFL Europe circuit, seeing this as a key career advancement. Duragrin seeks to capitalize on his undefeated status and gain prominence by defeating a more established opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Ibragim Ibragimov: -700, Mathys Duragrin: 400 | Ibragim Ibragimov | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Spread | Ibragim Ibragimov: -1.5, Mathys Duragrin: +1.5 | Ibragimov by more than 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Over/under | over_1.5_rounds: -120, under_1.5_rounds: 100 | Over 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Ibragim Ibragimov -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Ibragim Ibragimov at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ibragim Ibragimov is favored to win given his greater experience, technical skills, and recent momentum in the PFL, with a high likelihood of winning by decision or stoppage.
Predicted Score: Ibragimov wins by unanimous decision or TKO in round 2 or 3