Match Analysis: Portland Timbers vs New England Revolution - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-06
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: Providence Park, Portland, Oregon
Game Overview
The Portland Timbers will host the New England Revolution in an MLS match at Providence Park. Both teams exhibit solid form, with Portland unbeaten in their last 9 home MLS games and New England undefeated in their last 7 away matches. Historically, the fixture is highly competitive, with a notable trend of draws between the sides in recent years.
Key Factors to Consider
- Portland Timbers have secured 5 wins in 10 home matches this season and have remained unbeaten in 20 of their last 22 home MLS games. New England Revolution have won 50% of their last 6 away matches and remain undefeated in their last 7 away games. Both teams show resilience and consistency in their respective environments.
- The two teams have a strong tendency to draw, with 8 draws in 11 matches this season and 5 consecutive draws in MLS meetings historically. Portland has won only 1 of their last 9 encounters with New England, while New England has never won at Providence Park, holding a record of 0-2-4 in Oregon.
- Information on current injuries or suspensions is not explicitly provided, but Portland had some injuries and suspensions prior to the match. There are no specific key player absences mentioned that could severely affect either side.
- The match will be played under mostly sunny conditions with a high of 82°F and low of 56°F, ideal for soccer. The game is held in Portland’s home stadium, which has historically favored the Timbers due to strong home support.
- New England Revolution, currently 11th in the Eastern Conference, will aim to rebound on the road after a mixed recent homestand. Portland Timbers, strong at home and unbeaten in recent matches, will look to extend their home dominance. The history of close contests and draws suggests both teams are motivated to at least avoid defeat.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: 100, away: 245, draw: 290 | Draw | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | home: -0.5 at 100, away: +50 at -120 | Portland Timbers -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | over: -102, under: -118 | Under 3 goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Portland Timbers 76% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Portland Timbers at 76% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A tightly contested match is expected, likely ending in a draw. Both teams have strong defensive records against each other, and the history of recurring draws supports this prediction.
Predicted Score: 1-1
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