Match Analysis: FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-05
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, USA
Game Overview
FC Cincinnati will host Chicago Fire on July 5, 2025, at TQL Stadium in Cincinnati in an MLS regular season match. FC Cincinnati currently ranks 2nd in the MLS standings, while Chicago Fire sits 8th. The teams have met once this season before this fixture, with FC Cincinnati showing stronger recent form and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- FC Cincinnati ranks 2nd in the league, indicating solid recent performance and consistency. Chicago Fire, positioned 8th, has been less consistent but remains competitive. FC Cincinnati’s home form is strong, with good offensive and defensive outputs.
- The teams have met twice last season and once this season, with FC Cincinnati having a favorable record. Historically, matches have been competitive but FC Cincinnati holds a slight edge, especially at home.
- No specific current injury reports are available for either side, suggesting that both teams may field near full-strength lineups.
- The match is played at FC Cincinnati’s home venue, TQL Stadium, which has a strong home atmosphere. The game will be streamed on MLS Season Pass, and no major weather or logistical disruptions are reported.
- FC Cincinnati’s higher league position and home advantage provide strong motivation to secure all three points. Chicago Fire will be motivated to improve their standing and seek an upset on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | FC Cincinnati: -125, Chicago Fire: 275, Draw: 330 | FC Cincinnati win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | FC Cincinnati -0.5: -120, Chicago Fire +50: 100 | FC Cincinnati -0.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 3.25: -112, Under 3.25: -108 | Under 3.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | FC Cincinnati -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3.25 6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.25 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FC Cincinnati is favored to win this match due to stronger form, home advantage, and current standings. A competitive game is expected, but Cincinnati’s edge suggests a likely victory.
Predicted Score: 2-1
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