Match Analysis: Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-13
- Time: 6:11 PM UTC
- Location: Rate Field, Chicago, IL
Game Overview
The Chicago White Sox host the Detroit Tigers in the final game of a three-game series. The White Sox have a 23-33 home record this season, while the Tigers hold a 28-26 record on the road. Both teams present a fairly balanced matchup with pitching and recent form considered.
Key Factors to Consider
- Chicago White Sox have struggled at home with a 23-33 record, while Detroit Tigers perform slightly better on the road at 28-26. Both starting pitchers have near-equal chances of quality starts, influencing the game's expected competitiveness.
- The teams have faced each other multiple times this season, with recent games close in result. Simulations suggest a narrow margin with both teams roughly in the 45-55% win probability range.
- No specific injury data available for this match, indicating rosters are likely close to full strength.
- Game played at Rate Field in Chicago, ambient conditions unknown but typical August weather expected. No unusual external factors noted.
- As this is the final game of their series, motivation is balanced; both teams aim to secure the win to gain momentum. Detroit could leverage their better road record, while Chicago aims to defend home turf.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chicago White Sox: +108, Detroit Tigers: -126 | Detroit Tigers | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | Chicago White Sox: -1.5 at -156, Detroit Tigers: +1.5 at +130 | Detroit Tigers +1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5: -122, Under 8.5: +100 | Under 8.5 runs | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit Tigers 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 8.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Detroit Tigers are favored to win narrowly based on pitching matchups and slightly better road form, with a final predicted close score favoring Detroit.
Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 4 – Chicago White Sox 3