Match Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-13
- Time: 6:10 PM UTC
- Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Brewers are on an 11-game winning streak and will be hosting the Pittsburgh Pirates, who have lost four consecutive games and possess one of the weaker away records at 17-41. The Brewers, leading the National League Central with the best record in MLB at 75-44, have been dominant at home boasting a 41-20 record. The Pirates enter this game at 51-70 overall with offensive struggles evident, having scored three or fewer runs in six of their last eight games.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Brewers are performing exceptionally well with a strong offense and pitching staff, highlighted by a recent 14-0 win that extended their winning streak. They have won five of the last six meetings against the Pirates. The Pirates have a 3.99 team ERA and 1.23 WHIP but are struggling offensively with a .232 batting average and only moderate power numbers.
- Milwaukee Brewers lead the recent head-to-head records having won five out of the last six matchups against the Pirates, including a dominant 14-0 win in their last encounter.
- No significant injuries reported for either team affecting the current game, allowing both teams to field close to full strength.
- The game is played at the Brewers' home, American Family Field, where they have a substantial home advantage reflected in their 41-20 home record. No unusual weather or external disruptions reported.
- The Brewers are motivated to extend their impressive winning streak to 12 games and maintain their position atop the National League Central. The Pirates seek to break their losing streak and improve their very poor road performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | milwaukee_brewers: -215, pittsburgh_pirates: 193 | Milwaukee Brewers to win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | milwaukee_brewers: -1.5 -116, pittsburgh_pirates: +1.5 -104 | Milwaukee Brewers to cover -1.5 spread | β β β β β 80% |
| Over/under | over: 7.5 -110, under: 7.5 -110 | Over 7.5 runs | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers -99% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 7.5 -99% |
β οΈ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
The Milwaukee Brewers are strongly favored to win, continuing their winning streak with a likely comfortable margin over the Pirates. Offensive and pitching dominance, combined with home field advantage and the Pirates' weak away form, suggest a Brewers victory with runs exceeding the total line.
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 8 – 3 Pittsburgh Pirates