Match Analysis: Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-06
- Time: 8:10 PM UTC
- Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Game Overview
The Los Angeles Dodgers host the St. Louis Cardinals in the final game of their three-game MLB series. Both teams have split the first two games, with the Dodgers eking out a comeback in the last game. The Dodgers are favored with strong home form (36β22 at home) against the Cardinals, who have a losing away record (25β34). Starting pitchers are Matthew Liberatore (6-9, 3.96 ERA) for the Cardinals and Shohei Ohtani (0-0, 2.40 ERA) for the Dodgers.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dodgers hold a superior overall season record (66-48) compared to the Cardinals (57-58), particularly dominant at home. Dodgers' recent offensive surge was pivotal in evening the series, suggesting momentum advantage. Cardinals struggle more on the road with a sub-.500 record.
- The current series is tied 1-1. Historically, the Dodgers have tended to have the upper hand when playing at Dodger Stadium, including recent matchups this season where Dodgers have won convincingly.
- No explicit injury updates found for either team impacting this game. Both teams expected to field their typical starters and key lineup members for the pitching matchup.
- Game played indoors at Dodger Stadium reducing weather impact. Pitching matchup favors Dodgers due to Ohtaniβs better ERA and home advantage.
- Dodgers motivated to clinch the series win at home and maintain their strong playoff positioning. Cardinals aim to rebound on the road to improve their challenging away record late in the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dodgers: -200, Cardinals: 180 | Dodgers | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Dodgers: -1.5 (-107), Cardinals: +1.5 (-113) | Dodgers -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 9 (-112), Under: 9 (-108) | Over 9 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 9 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Los Angeles Dodgers to win by more than 1.5 runs, leveraging their home advantage, superior overall form, and stronger pitching matchup.
Predicted Score: Los Angeles Dodgers 6 – St. Louis Cardinals 3