Match Analysis: New England Revolution vs CF Montreal – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-25
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Gillette Stadium
Game Overview
The MLS regular season match between New England Revolution and CF Montreal at Gillette Stadium is anticipated to be competitive. New England is playing at home but currently struggles with form, having not won in their last 8 matches. Meanwhile, CF Montreal shows relatively better recent scoring but also faces defensive challenges.
Key Factors to Consider
- New England Revolution have scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches but have failed to win any of their last 8 games. Key playmaker Carles Gil has been influential, creating 13 big chances. CF Montreal have scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches but have not kept a clean sheet in their last 5. Both teams display offense but lack defensive solidity recently.
- Historically, encounters between New England Revolution and CF Montreal have been closely contested. Given recent form, the edge is slightly with CF Montreal due to New England's extended winless streak at home, though New England has some advantage playing at Gillette Stadium.
- No specific injury information is available from current data, suggesting no significant absences have been reported that would heavily influence team strength.
- The match day atmosphere will be boosted by fan engagement activities such as Mascot Night and other entertainment at Gillette Stadium, potentially motivating the home side. Weather or other environmental factors were not indicated.
- New England Revolution will be motivated to end their winless streak at home. CF Montreal will seek to capitalize on New England's struggles and continue their scoring form. Both sides have incentive for points in the regular season, making for high motivation levels.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | CF Montreal: 300, New England Revolution: -120, Draw: 275 | New England Revolution win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | CF Montreal: -0.5 -106, New England Revolution: -0.5 -125 | New England Revolution -0.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -127, Under 2.5: -105 | Over 2.5 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New England Revolution -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A closely fought match with a slight edge to New England Revolution to edge a narrow win at home considering defensive vulnerabilities on both sides and home advantage.
Predicted Score: 2-1 New England Revolution