Match Analysis: Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-23
- Time: 7:11 PM UTC
- Location: Coors Field, Denver, CO
Game Overview
The Colorado Rockies host the St. Louis Cardinals at Coors Field for a key MLB matchup. The Rockies won the first game of the series on July 22 with an 8-4 victory, featuring a strong offensive showing including a three-run homer by Ryan McMahon. The Cardinals have shown resilience but have been outperformed recently by the Rockies at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Rockies have been struggling through the season but displayed strong offense and pitching depth in the last game to beat the Cardinals. The Cardinals, with a slightly better record, rely on key players like Willson Contreras and Erick Fedde, though Fedde struggled in his last start. Rockies' bullpen has been effective recently, while Cardinals' pitching remains inconsistent.
- Recent meetings in July favor the Rockies, who won the latest game 8-4 after losing the previous day 6-2. The Rockies have historically had a home-field advantage at Coors Field. The July 22 game shows the Rockiesβ ability to capitalize on Cardinals' pitching mistakes.
- No significant injury updates impacting starting players or key bullpen arms for either team were reported close to the game date.
- Playing at Coors Field, a hitter-friendly park with high altitude, generally favors teams with strong batting lineups like the Rockies. Weather conditions are expected to be typical for Denver in July, not presenting significant challenges.
- The Rockies, struggling in the season standings, are motivated to capitalize on home games and break their losing streaks. The Cardinals aim to regain momentum and strengthen their series standing on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Rockies: +162, St. Louis Cardinals: -194 | St. Louis Cardinals | β β β ββ 60% |
| Spread | Colorado Rockies (+1.5): +108, St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5): -130 | Spread favoring St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | Over 11: -115, Under 11: -105 | Over 11 runs | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 11 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 11 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on current performance metrics, home advantage, and recent results, the Colorado Rockies are favored to win, though the Cardinals remain competitive due to their batting lineup and bullpen potential.
Predicted Score: St. Louis Cardinals 6 – 5 Colorado Rockies