Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-22
- Time: 6:05 AM UTC
- Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney, Australia
Game Overview
The Sydney Roosters host the North Queensland Cowboys in Round 16 of the 2025 NRL season at Allianz Stadium. The Roosters are positioned to maintain their top eight standing and are bolstered by the return of multiple Origin stars, aiming to break a recent losing streak against the Cowboys. In contrast, the Cowboys are struggling with form, having suffered a heavy 54-point loss last weekend and only one win in their last six matches, despite also regaining key players from Origin duty and suspensions.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sydney Roosters have shown resilience, recently winning a low-scoring away game against Newcastle after coming from behind. Their attack will be strengthened by returning Origin players. North Queensland Cowboys are in poor form, with only one victory in six matches and a heavy defeat last round, although the return of Origin and suspended players may improve their competitiveness.
- Historically, Roosters have had the upper hand against Cowboys in recent seasons. The Roosters aim to end a two-season run of consecutive defeats against the Cowboys and reassert dominance at home.
- Both teams will regain multiple players returning from State of Origin duties. The Cowboys also have two players, John Bateman and Viliami Vailea, returning from suspension, which could help their lineup strength.
- The match is held at Allianz Stadium, a home venue advantage for the Roosters. The timing and weather conditions are typical for Sydney in June, favoring the home side comfortable in the local environment.
- Sydney Roosters are motivated to secure a top eight spot and reverse recent losses to the Cowboys. The Cowboys seek redemption after a humiliating loss and to improve their poor recent run, especially with returning key players.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Sydney Roosters: -218, North Queensland Cowboys: 183, Draw: 2300 | Sydney Roosters | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | Sydney Roosters: -6.5 -115, North Queensland Cowboys: +6.5 -115 | Sydney Roosters to cover -6.5 points | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 48.5: -115, Under 48.5: -115 | Under 48.5 points | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Sydney Roosters -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 48.5 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sydney Roosters to win by approximately 10 points, leveraging home advantage, better form, and returning star players.
Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 26 – 16 North Queensland Cowboys