Match Analysis: San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-13
- Time: 8:11 PM UTC
- Location: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Game Overview
The upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies is a continuation of a closely contested series, with the Padres winning the last two matchups 4-2 and 5-4 respectively. Both teams have shown strong competitive edge and are evenly matched, making this game highly anticipated.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Diego Padres have won the last two games against the Phillies with scores of 4-2 and 5-4, demonstrating solid pitching and timely hitting. The Phillies scored competitively, indicating resilience but struggled to contain Padres' offense in late innings.
- The recent head-to-head meetings favor the Padres with consecutive victories on July 11 and 12, 2025. Both games were close, suggesting a balanced rivalry with minor edges towards Padres.
- Aaron Nola, Phillies' key pitcher (#27), was noted in player news but no injury status was specified; current injury reports do not indicate any significant absences impacting the starting lineups.
- The game is at Petco Park, a Padres home venue, providing them home-field advantage. Weather conditions are not reported as a factor at this time.
- Padres aim to sweep the series on home turf, bolstered by recent victories, while Phillies seek to avoid a series loss and regain momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies: -130, San Diego Padres: 110 | San Diego Padres | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | Philadelphia Phillies: -1.5 at 130, San Diego Padres: +1.5 at -156 | San Diego Padres +1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 7.5: -115, Under 7.5: -105 | Over 7.5 runs | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Diego Padres -99% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 7.5 -99% |
β οΈ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
San Diego Padres are favored to win this game due to home advantage, recent winning streak against Phillies, and close but effective pitching performances. Expect a tightly contested match with Padres edging out in late innings.
Predicted Score: San Diego Padres 5 – Philadelphia Phillies 4