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Ricky Simon vs. Cameron Smotherman Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Ricky Simon vs Cameron Smotherman – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-14
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, Georgia

Game Overview

This bantamweight bout at UFC Atlanta features Ricky Simon facing off against Cameron Smotherman, who is stepping in for the injured Charles Jourdain. Ricky Simon is favored to win, with odds reflecting his experience and recent performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ricky Simon has a strong MMA background and is favored to win due to his experience. Cameron Smotherman, on the other hand, is stepping in on short notice.
  • There is no previous head-to-head match between the two fighters.
  • Charles Jourdain's injury led to Cameron Smotherman's inclusion.
  • Smotherman's late entry may affect his preparation and performance.
  • Both fighters are motivated, but Simon may have an edge due to his experience and preparation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -515 (Ricky Simon), 390 (Cameron Smotherman) Ricky Simon ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under -135 (Under 2.5), 105 (Over 2.5) Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ricky Simon -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ricky Simon is likely to win due to his experience and current form.

Predicted Score: N/A for MMA matches, as the outcome is not scored like traditional sports.


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Damon Wilson vs. Márcio Barbosa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Damon Wilson vs Márcio Barbosa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-27
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

Featherweight division main card fight between Damon Wilson (9-2) and Márcio Barbosa (16-2) on Dana White's Contender Series.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Márcio Barbosa holds a more extensive record with 16 wins and 2 losses compared to Damon Wilson's 9 wins and 2 losses. Barbosa has displayed consistent form in recent fights with odds movement favoring him as a clear favorite; Wilson is seen as an underdog but has competitive wins.
  • No direct head-to-head data available; this is their first meeting.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter going into this matchup.
  • The fight is part of a high-stakes Dana White's Contender Series event, increasing motivation especially for Wilson who is the underdog and looking to prove himself for UFC recognition.
  • Wilson likely has increased motivation as the underdog looking to capitalize on this showcase; Barbosa as the seasoned favorite carries pressure to deliver and maintain standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Damon Wilson: +265, Márcio Barbosa: -340 Márcio Barbosa ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Márcio Barbosa -1.5 rounds: -120, Damon Wilson +1.5 rounds: +100 Márcio Barbosa -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: +155, Under 1.5 rounds: -185 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Márcio Barbosa -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Márcio Barbosa to win via moneyline and cover the spread, with the fight going under 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Márcio Barbosa wins by TKO in round 1


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Darion Abbey vs. Donte Johnson Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Darion Abbey vs Donte Johnson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-27
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

This matchup features Darion Abbey, a 7-4 heavyweight with significant size and reach advantages, against undefeated 5-0 light heavyweight Donte Johnson. Abbey is the older, heavier fighter, while Johnson is younger and undefeated, indicating rising talent and momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Darion Abbey has a solid but mixed record of 7-4, showing vulnerability but experience in heavyweight fights. Donte Johnson is undefeated at 5-0, with strong recent form and momentum.
  • No direct previous matchups between Abbey and Johnson exist, meaning preparation and adaptation on fight night will be crucial.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter, indicating both are in normal training condition.
  • The fight takes place at a high-stakes Dana White Contender Series event, increasing motivation for Johnson, the undefeated prospect, eager to prove himself with a UFC contract.
  • Donte Johnson's undefeated status and younger age create a strong motivation to maintain the streak and advance his career. Abbey, with a more seasoned but less stellar record, is motivated to upset and return to prominence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Darion Abbey: +275, Donte Johnson: -350 Donte Johnson ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Donte Johnson -1.5: -150, Darion Abbey +1.5: +130 Donte Johnson -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: +190, Under 1.5 rounds: -230 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Donte Johnson -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Donte Johnson at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Donte Johnson via decision

Predicted Score: Donte Johnson wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Trent Miller vs. Ryan Gandra Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Trent Miller vs Ryan Gandra – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-26
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

Middleweight MMA matchup between Trent Miller (8-2) and Ryan Gandra (7-1) on Dana White's Contender Series.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ryan Gandra holds a strong 7-1 record with consistent recent performances; Trent Miller is 8-2, slightly more experienced but with two recent losses affecting momentum.
  • No available direct head-to-head history between the two fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout.
  • Fight taking place on a major platform, Dana White's Contender Series, likely increasing motivation for both fighters to impress for UFC contract opportunities.
  • Both fighters highly motivated; Ryan Gandra has slightly better recent form suggesting a psychological edge, while Trent Miller may be under pressure to rebound from losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ryan Gandra: -370, Trent Miller: +295 Ryan Gandra ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread +125 for Gandra -1.5 rounds Ryan Gandra -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5: +125, Under 1.5: -155 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ryan Gandra -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ryan Gandra moneyline win, spread in favor of Gandra by at least 1.5 rounds, and under 1.5 rounds total.

Predicted Score: Ryan Gandra wins via decision or late stoppage in round 2


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Alik Lorenz vs. Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Alik Lorenz vs Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-27
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not Provided

Game Overview

Alik Lorenz faces Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev in a light heavyweight bout at the Dana White's Contender Series 2025. Lorenz is known for his aggressive style and powerful strikes, while Yakhyaev is the current Ares FC champion with a balanced skillset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Yakhyaev is the more well-rounded fighter, having won via decision, KO/TKO, and submission. Lorenz relies heavily on his power and has a 100% finish rate.
  • No previous head-to-head matchup.
  • No injuries reported.
  • Motivation is high for both fighters looking to secure a UFC contract.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a UFC contract.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Yakhyaev: -900, Lorenz: 600 Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev ★★★★☆ 82%
Over/under Over 1.5: 190, Under 1.5: -240 Under 1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev is favored to win due to his technical skills and recent title fights experience.

Predicted Score: Yakhyaev by decision or early stoppage


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Cristian Pérez vs. Manoel Sousa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Cristian Pérez vs Manoel Sousa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-27
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Game Overview

Cristian Pérez, an exceptional grappler relying on ground control and submissions, faces Manoel Sousa, a powerful striker known for his knockout ability. The matchup presents a classic grappler versus striker dynamic, making the fight outcome uncertain but strategically interesting for betting.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Pérez holds a record of 13-1, demonstrating consistent grappling dominance and control. Sousa has an 11-1 record showcasing strong striking and finishing power. Both fighters have shown recent strong form in their respective specialties.
  • No prior head-to-head fights exist between Pérez and Sousa, adding an element of unpredictability.
  • No reported current injuries for either fighter leading into the matchup, indicating both should be at full strength.
  • The bout takes place at Contender Series 2025 Week 3 in Las Vegas, a high-profile environment where both fighters are motivated to impress Dana White and advance their careers.
  • Both fighters appear highly motivated; Pérez aims to demonstrate grappling supremacy to secure UFC opportunities, while Sousa seeks to capitalize on his striking power to claim a highlight finish. Motivation is balanced.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cristian Pérez: +240, Manoel Sousa: -300 Manoel Sousa ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Sousa -1.5: -150, Pérez +1.5: +130 Sousa -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5: -215, Under 1.5: +175 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manoel Sousa -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 -15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manoel Sousa at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manoel Sousa is favored to win via striking prowess, but Cristian Pérez's grappling threat makes the fight competitive. Given odds and styles, betting on Sousa moneyline offers the highest expected value. Spread favors Sousa to win by decision or finish narrowly. Over 1.5 rounds is favored given fight duration expectations.

Predicted Score: Manoel Sousa wins via decision or late finish in round 2 or 3


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Levi Rigters vs. Ben Sosoli Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Levi Rigters vs Ben Sosoli – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Levi Rigters is known for his striking prowess and reach, which could give him an edge against Ben Sosoli. Sosoli's strategy might involve closing the gap to neutralize Rigters' height advantage, potentially leading to a competitive bout.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rigters has superior striking technique, while Sosoli might rely on resilience and takedown attempts.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Neither fighter seems to have significant external factors influencing their performance.
  • Both fighters are likely highly motivated for this bout.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Levi Rigters is favored to win given his technical advantage.

Predicted Score: Levi Rigters by decision (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)


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Miloš Cvjetićanin vs. Colin George Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Miloš Cvjetićanin vs Colin George – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: GLORY103 Tournament Venue (Exact venue not specified)

Game Overview

The matchup between Miloš Cvjetićanin and Colin George is set for the GLORY103 heavyweight kickboxing tournament on August 23, 2025. Both fighters have reputations as powerful knockout artists, making this a high-intensity bout where striking and power will be critical.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Miloš Cvjetićanin has shown strong recent form, having fought twice in one night at GLORY 100 and gaining momentum in the heavyweight scene. Colin George is also a formidable striker but has fewer high-profile wins recently.
  • There are no prior recorded head-to-head bouts between Cvjetićanin and George, increasing outcome uncertainty. Both rely on power striking, so it may come down to who better manages distance and durability.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter close to the fight date, indicating both are expected to perform at full capacity.
  • The bout is part of a high-stakes tournament, increasing motivation for both fighters. Cvjetićanin appears highly motivated to continue climbing ranks, as shown in recent interviews.
  • Cvjetićanin is motivated by momentum and tournament progression, possibly giving him a psychological edge. George's motivation is strong but perhaps less publicly emphasized.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cvjetićanin -140, George +120 Miloš Cvjetićanin ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Cvjetićanin -1.5 (+180), George +1.5 (-220) Cvjetićanin -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-110), Under 2.5 rounds (-110) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Miloš Cvjetićanin to win by knockout

Predicted Score: Cvjetićanin wins by 2nd round KO


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Chico Kwasi vs. Mehdi Ait El Hadj Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Chico Kwasi vs Mehdi Ait El Hadj – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ahoy, Rotterdam, The Netherlands

Game Overview

Chico Kwasi defends his GLORY Welterweight Title against the rising challenger Mehdi Ait El Hadj in a highly anticipated welterweight clash at GLORY 103.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chico Kwasi is the reigning welterweight champion with multiple title defenses, demonstrating experience and composure in high-pressure fights. Mehdi Ait El Hadj, ranked #4, is an aggressive striker with a higher strikes landed per minute rate, but less experience at this level.
  • No prior professional head-to-head matchup, making this a true test of styles with Kwasi’s experience against Ait El Hadj’s rising momentum.
  • No known injuries reported for either fighter leading up to the bout, suggesting both fighters are at full strength.
  • Fight at Ahoy Arena in Rotterdam gives a slight geographical neutrality; however, crowd and event pressure may favor the defending champion Kwasi due to his status and expectations.
  • Mehdi Ait El Hadj is highly motivated to capture his first title, seeking to solidify his ascent in the division. Kwasi aims to maintain dominance with a fourth title defense, bringing veteran drive and championship experience.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -140 Chico Kwasi ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread +110 Chico Kwasi -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under -120 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Chico Kwasi to win; Spread: Chico Kwasi -3.5; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Chico Kwasi wins by decision or late stoppage in round 3


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Tayfun Özcan vs. Don Sno Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Tayfun Özcan vs Don Sno – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Undisclosed neutral venue

Game Overview

The matchup between Tayfun Özcan and Don Sno is a high-profile MMA bout scheduled for August 23, 2025, featuring two skilled fighters known for their striking abilities and competitive fight IQ. Özcan enters with a slight edge in recent form and technique, while Sno possesses durability and experience in late-round engagements.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tayfun Özcan has delivered stronger recent performances with a 4-1 record in his last five fights, showcasing precision striking and improved cardio. Don Sno has a 3-2 record, with wins mostly by decision and a tendency to engage in drawn-out fights.
  • This is their first professional encounter, with no direct previous bouts to analyze, increasing the importance of style matchup and current form.
  • No reported injuries or recent layoffs for either fighter, both appearing fully fit and active in training camps.
  • Neutral venue with no reported travel disadvantages or disruptive conditions; both fighters are motivated to climb the rankings amid strong competition in this division.
  • Özcan appears motivated by a recent close loss and a desire to prove championship potential, while Sno is motivated to maintain divisional relevance and rebound from an inconsistent streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline tayfun_ozcan: -145, don_sno: +120 Tayfun Özcan ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread tayfun_ozcan: -1.5 (+155), don_sno: +1.5 (-180) Tayfun Özcan -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over_2.5_rounds: -110, under_2.5_rounds: -110 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tayfun Özcan to win by decision

Predicted Score: Tayfun Özcan wins by unanimous decision after going over 2.5 rounds


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