Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-11
- Time: 5:06 PM UTC
- Location: Citizens Bank Park
Game Overview
The Chicago Cubs and Philadelphia Phillies are set to face off in a competitive MLB matchup. The Cubs are currently leading the NL Central with a 40-26 record, while the Phillies are second in the NL East with a 38-28 record.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Cubs have been strong on the road, with a 20-15 away record, while the Phillies have performed well at home, going 18-16. The Cubs' starting pitcher, Ben Brown, has a 5.37 ERA, while the Phillies' Jesús Luzardo has a 4.46 ERA.
- The Cubs recently won a game against the Phillies, indicating a slight edge in their head-to-head matchup.
- No significant injury updates are available for this game.
- Weather conditions could impact the game, but no specific details are available at this time.
- Both teams are motivated to win, with the Cubs aiming to maintain their lead in the NL Central and the Phillies seeking to close the gap in the NL East.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Cubs: -102, Philadelphia Phillies: -116 | Chicago Cubs | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Spread | Chicago Cubs: -1.5 +152, Philadelphia Phillies: 1.5 -184 | Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 8.5: -122, Under 8.5: 100 | Over 8.5 | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies 15% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8.5 -7% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Cubs have a slight edge due to their recent form and away performance.
Predicted Score: Cubs 5, Phillies 4