Match Analysis: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-11
- Time: 4:36 PM UTC
- Location: PNC Park
Game Overview
The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Miami Marlins in a decisive matchup of their two-game series. The Marlins took the first game 3-2, but the Pirates are favored to win the second game with Bailey Falter on the mound against Cal Quantrill.
Key Factors to Consider
- Pittsburgh is 4-1 in their last five games, while Miami is 1-7 in their last eight. The Pirates have struggled offensively but have been solid at home.
- Tuesday's game saw a low-scoring affair, which might repeat given the pitching matchup.
- No significant injuries reported
- The Pirates' home advantage could be a crucial factor.
- Both teams are looking to secure a win, but the Pirates might have more momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Pirates: -154, Marlins: 130 | Pittsburgh Pirates | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Pirates -1.5: 128, Marlins +1.5: -154 | Miami Marlins +1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 8.5: -122, Under 8.5: 100 | Under 8.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Pittsburgh Pirates -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 20% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Pittsburgh Pirates are likely to win due to their home record and recent performance.
Predicted Score: Pirates 4, Marlins 2