Match Analysis: Portland Timbers vs New England Revolution – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-06
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: Providence Park, Portland, OR
Game Overview
The MLS match between Portland Timbers and New England Revolution is set for July 6, 2025, at Providence Park. Portland Timbers have been strong at home this season with 5 wins in 10 matches and unbeaten in their last 9 home MLS matches. New England Revolution has shown solid form on the road, remaining unbeaten in their last 7 away matches. Historically, this fixture has produced a high number of draws, with 8 draws in 11 matches this season and 5 consecutive draws in their MLS encounters. Matches are typically low scoring and tightly contested.
Key Factors to Consider
- Portland Timbers are unbeaten in their last 9 home MLS games and have drawn 5 consecutive games against New England in MLS. New England has won 50% of their last 6 away matches and remains unbeaten in 7 recent away games, showing strong resilience on the road.
- The teams have a history of closely contested matches, with 8 draws out of 11 matches this season and 5 consecutive draws overall in MLS meetings. New England has never won in Portland, with an all-time record of 0-2-4 in Oregon and 1-2-8 overall against Portland.
- No specific injury or suspension data available for this match, though no significant reports suggest key absences for either side currently.
- The match will be played under mostly sunny weather with highs around 82Β°F and lows of 56Β°F, favorable conditions for open play. The game is set at Providence Park, giving Portland home advantage.
- New England will look to build on their recent comeback 3-3 draw against Colorado Rapids, seeking points to improve their position. Portland, unbeaten at home recently, will aim to maintain supremacy and capitalize on their overall stronger home form.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | new_england_revolution: 245, portland_timbers: 100, draw: 290 | Draw | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | new_england_revolution: -0.5 at -120, portland_timbers: +50 at 100 | Portland Timbers +0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | over_3: -102, under_3: -118 | Under 3 goals | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Portland Timbers 115% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3 29% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Portland Timbers at 115% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A tightly contested match is expected, most likely ending in a draw, continuing the recent historical trend between these sides with a probable 1-1 scoreline.
Predicted Score: 1-1