Match Analysis: D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-05
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Audi Field, Washington, D.C., USA
Game Overview
The MLS match between D.C. United and Atlanta United FC will take place at Audi Field. Both teams have had challenging seasons; D.C. United has lost 50% of their matches and Atlanta United has struggled on the road, losing 5 of their last 6 away matches. Historically, Atlanta United holds a slight edge in head-to-head clashes with 10 wins compared to D.C. United's 7 in their last 19 encounters. Recent form sees both teams facing scoring and defensive challenges, with D.C. United failing to keep clean sheets in 7 consecutive matches and Atlanta United in 16. This sets the stage for a tightly contested match.
Key Factors to Consider
- D.C. United has lost their last 3 matches and has a poor home record with only 1 win in their last 9 home MLS games. Atlanta United, while struggling away, have managed to score 8 goals in their last 5 matches but have defensive vulnerabilities, not keeping clean sheets in 16 matches.
- Atlanta United leads the head-to-head with 10 wins, while D.C. United has 7 wins and 2 draws in their past 19 meetings. D.C. United has conceded at least 1 goal in their last 11 meetings with Atlanta United.
- No specific injury data is available from the search results; however, typical MLS mid-season squad rotations and minor injuries may influence player availability.
- The match is played at Audi Field giving D.C. United home advantage. Weather or other external factors are not detailed in available data. Motivation levels may be influenced by both teams' lower mid-table MLS standings (D.C. United 12th, Atlanta United 14th), pushing for points to improve positioning.
- Both teams are positioned in the lower half of the MLS standings, which suggests a strong motivation to secure points. D.C. United may have added incentive playing at home, while Atlanta United will aim to break their poor away run.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atlanta United FC: 150, D.C. United: 165, Draw: 270 | D.C. United to win | β β β ββ 60% |
| Spread | Atlanta United FC: 0 -115, D.C. United: 0 -105 | D.C. United +0 | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: -112, Under 2.75: -108 | Over 2.75 goals | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | D.C. United 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 -2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: D.C. United at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on current form, head-to-head records, and home advantage, a narrow win for D.C. United is predicted, likely a 2-1 outcome.
Predicted Score: 2-1