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Newcastle Knights vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-05
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium

Game Overview

The Newcastle Knights will host the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in Round 14 of the 2025 NRL season at McDonald Jones Stadium. The Sea Eagles enter as favorites, aiming to secure back-to-back wins for the first time since March. The Knights have struggled offensively this season, averaging just 13.3 points per game, making scoring a key challenge against the solid Manly defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Knights have been underperforming offensively, recently suffering three defeats in four matches. They average only 13.3 points per game, the lowest in the competition this season. Conversely, Manly's defense has been relatively strong, conceding an average of 20.5 points per game but showing defensive resilience with just six points conceded in their last match.
  • Historically, these teams have been competitive but Manly holds a recent advantage in head-to-head encounters and is currently favored to win. Advanced simulations give Manly a 67% probability of victory at Newcastle's home ground.
  • No specific injury updates were listed in the available data, suggesting squads are likely near full strength or no notable absences have been reported impacting this clash.
  • The match is played at home for the Knights at McDonald Jones Stadium, where they have some home-ground advantage and support. It is also a community round, potentially boosting player motivation. Weather and pitch conditions were not indicated but presumed normal.
  • Manly is motivated to maintain their spot in the top eight and seeks momentum with consecutive wins. Newcastle aims to break their poor form and secure a vital home victory to regain confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -230, Newcastle Knights: 188, Draw: 2400 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread Newcastle Knights +5.5: 1.91, Manly Sea Eagles -5.5: 1.91 Manly Sea Eagles -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115 Over 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles are predicted to win by approximately 10 points, capitalizing on their stronger defense and Newcastle's offensive struggles.

Predicted Score: Manly Sea Eagles 24 – Newcastle Knights 14


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Newcastle Knights vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction

Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-06-05 Time: 9:50 AM UTC Location: McDonald Jones Stadium Game Overview The Newcastle Knights will host the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in Round 14 of the 2025 NRL season at McDonald Jones Stadium. The Sea Eagles enter as favorites, aiming to […]

June 5, 2025 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Newcastle Knights Rugbyleague

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Dolphins vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-06
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

The Dolphins and St George Illawarra Dragons face off in NRL Round 14, with the Dolphins favored to win. Both teams have five wins heading into this match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins have shown strong form, while the Dragons have had inconsistent results. The Dolphins' performance at home could be a deciding factor.
  • Historical match-ups between these teams are limited due to the Dolphins being a new team in the NRL.
  • No significant injury reports have been highlighted for this match.
  • Home advantage could play a significant role for the Dolphins.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but the Dolphins' recent form might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins -182, Dragons 145 Dolphins win High
Spread Dolphins -4.5, Dragons +4.5 Dolphins cover Moderate
Over/under Over 47.5, Under 47.5 Over Moderate

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dolphins -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Dolphins are likely to win due to their recent performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 25, Dragons 20


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Melbourne Storm vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Friday, June 6, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: AAMI Park, Melbourne

Game Overview

The Melbourne Storm and North Queensland Cowboys face off in Round 14 of the 2025 NRL season. The Storm is favored, with odds reflecting their historical dominance and strong recent performance. However, the Cowboys offer value at $4.50, suggesting they might be underestimated by bookmakers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm has been consistent, with strong team dynamics and execution. The Cowboys have shown resilience but struggle with consistency.
  • Historically, the Storm has an advantage, but recent matches have been competitive.
  • No significant injury updates are available, but any changes could impact team performance.
  • Weather conditions and home-field advantage could favor the Storm.
  • Both teams are motivated, but the Cowboys may have more to prove given their underdog status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Storm: -500, Cowboys: 355, Draw: 2500 Storm ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Storm: -14.5 -115, Cowboys: 14.5 -115 Storm ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 48.5 -145, Under: 48.5 110 Over ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 -12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at -12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm is likely to win, but the North Queensland Cowboys have a higher chance than implied by bookmakers.

Predicted Score: Storm: 24-18 Cowboys


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Sydney Roosters vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-01
  • Time: 8:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Sydney Roosters will host the Canberra Raiders at Allianz Stadium in Round 13 of the 2025 NRL season. The Raiders currently sit 2nd on the ladder and the Roosters 11th, making this a crucial clash for both teams’ season aspirations. The Raiders are coming off a tough but controlled win against the Warriors in wet conditions while the Roosters upset the Sharks with a comprehensive 42-16 victory despite missing five Origin players. Both teams have their Origin stars returning, aiming to boost their chances in this important fixture.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders have shown strong form recently, managing a disciplined 16-10 win against the Warriors in difficult conditions. The Roosters demonstrated their squad depth and attacking potency with a 42-16 win over the Sharks, overcoming absences due to Origin duties. Both teams appear to be recovering well from representative matches, suggesting a competitive encounter.
  • Their last meeting at Allianz Stadium in Round 26, 2025, saw the Raiders narrowly defeat the Roosters 14-12. Historically, matches between these teams are closely contested. The Roosters have scored first in their last nine games, which could be pivotal in setting the tone for this match.
  • The Roosters have several players backing up after Origin duties: Collins, Leniu, Watson, Toia, and Crichton. Tom Starling from the Raiders is suspended for this match, with Owen Pattie stepping in at hooker. Danny Levi will debut off the bench for the Raiders this season, and Hudson Young is expected to start in the second row, adding forward strength.
  • The match will be played at Allianz Stadium with potential wet weather, which previously challenged the Raiders but they managed well. Both teams have home and travel considerations, with Canberra traveling from the Nation’s Capital. The game will be broadcast live on Fox League, Kayo, and WatchNRL for overseas fans.
  • The Raiders are motivated to maintain their high ladder position and continue their winning streak after recent tough matches. The Roosters aim to capitalize on home advantage and improve their standing after a recent morale-boosting upset. Milestone motivation is present as Raiders’ Josh Papalii will equal the club appearance record, which could inspire his team.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders: -114, Sydney Roosters: -105, Draw: 1800 Canberra Raiders ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Canberra Raiders: -1.5 -110, Sydney Roosters: +1.5 -120 Canberra Raiders -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given their current form, ladder position, and recent head-to-head results, the Canberra Raiders have a slight edge over the Sydney Roosters. The Raiders’ defensive discipline in wet conditions and key inclusions like Hudson Young strengthen their chances, though the Roosters’ home advantage and attacking impetus cannot be underestimated. Expect a tightly contested match with the Raiders predicted to win by a small margin.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 18 – Sydney Roosters 16


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Penrith Panthers vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-01
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium

Game Overview

Penrith Panthers face Parramatta Eels in a crucial NRL Round 13 clash at CommBank Stadium. Despite their recent struggles, the Panthers have a strong recent record against the Eels, having won 4 of the last 6 matchups. The Eels are struggling defensively, sitting 16th for points conceded, while the Panthers are 12th. Recent matches between these sides have trended high-scoring, with the over hitting in 4 of the last 5 meetings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith, despite being off their premiership form, have shown glimpses of quality against lesser teams and historically perform well against Parramatta. Parramatta are struggling with their defense, ranking last in the competition for points against. Penrith's defense is also below par (12th), indicating both teams might leak points[5].
  • Penrith have won 4 of the last 6 meetings with Parramatta, suggesting a psychological edge in this fixture[5].
  • No major injury updates that would significantly sway the game result available at this time.
  • State of Origin may impact player availability and motivation, but both teams currently have representative players potentially returning to boost their sides[1].
  • Penrith are under pressure to turn their season around as four-time reigning premiers. Parramatta are desperate to move off the bottom of the ladder, but their recent form is concerning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta Eels: 148, Penrith Panthers: -176, Draw: 2100 Penrith Panthers win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Parramatta Eels: 4.5 -115, Penrith Panthers: -4.5 -115 Penrith Panthers cover (-4.5) ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over: 44.5 -115, Under: 44.5 -115 Over 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers are favored to win, but not without a fight. The value is in backing Penrith, especially given their strong recent record against Parramatta and potential for high scoring. The Eels have some attacking threat, but their poor defense is a major liability.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 28 – Parramatta Eels 18


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-01
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Accor Stadium (Stadium Australia)

Game Overview

The Round 13 NRL match between South Sydney Rabbitohs and New Zealand Warriors is set for June 1, 2025, at Accor Stadium. South Sydney enters the game seeking a third consecutive win after a bye and recent victories against Brisbane Broncos and Wests Tigers. Historically, South Sydney has dominated head-to-head encounters at this venue with eight wins out of the last nine meetings, though the Warriors claimed a heavy 30-point victory in their most recent meeting here. The Warriors come into the game after a five-match winning streak was snapped by Canberra Raiders, suffering their first home defeat of the season. Despite sitting third on the ladder, the Warriors have a negative points differential, which could be a vulnerability in this crucial clash.

Key Factors to Consider

  • South Sydney has been strong recently with an 80% win rate and four wins in the last five head-to-head clashes against the Warriors. The Warriors showed solid form with a five-match winning streak before their recent loss but have inconsistencies related to points differential and recent home defeat.
  • In 41 matches between the two clubs, South Sydney leads narrowly with 21 wins to the Warriors' 20. Recently, South Sydney has dominated, winning eight of the last nine meetings at Accor Stadium. The last match at this venue was a significant 30-point win for the Warriors.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team, with the Warriors fielding a full-strength team for the first time in recent matches, suggesting both teams should be at near full capacity.
  • The match is played at Accor Stadium, a home advantage for South Sydney. Weather and other external conditions are typical for the location and time of year, with no major known disruptions.
  • South Sydney is motivated to continue their winning streak and extend dominance over the Warriors at home. The Warriors are motivated to bounce back after their first home loss and improve their points differential to strengthen their position in the top three.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors: -141, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 122, Draw: 1900 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread New Zealand Warriors: -1.5 -110, South Sydney Rabbitohs: +1.5 -120 New Zealand Warriors -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 45.5: -115, Under 45.5: -115 Over 45.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 45.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite South Sydney's strong home record and recent form, advanced predictive analytics models and betting market sentiment favor New Zealand Warriors to win this match by approximately 8 points, reflecting a slight edge in confidence for the away team.

Predicted Score: New Zealand Warriors 24 – 16 South Sydney Rabbitohs


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. Brisbane Broncos Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: 4 Pines Park

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles are set to face the Brisbane Broncos in Round 13 of the 2025 NRL season. The Broncos are favored to win with current odds reflecting a strong chance of victory. Key factors include team performance, head-to-head statistics, injuries, external factors like weather or suspensions, and team motivation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Broncos have shown a strong performance recently, while the Sea Eagles face challenges without key players.
  • Historical data shows varied results between the two teams, but recent form favors the Broncos.
  • The Sea Eagles have faced significant injury issues, which may impact their team dynamics.
  • State of Origin selections and recent suspensions could influence team lineups.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure a win, but the Broncos might have an edge due to their current form and team depth.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos: -139, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: 122, Draw: 2100 Brisbane Broncos ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Brisbane Broncos: -2.5 -110, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: 2.5 -120 Brisbane Broncos ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -115, Under: 46.5 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Brisbane Broncos at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Brisbane Broncos are predicted to win based on their recent form and odds.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 22, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 20


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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium

Game Overview

North Queensland Cowboys host Wests Tigers in Round 13 of the 2025 NRL Premiership. The Cowboys are favorites at home, where they have historically performed strongly, while Wests Tigers have struggled for consistency and away results. Both teams have crucial motivation: the Cowboys to maintain playoff contention, the Tigers to avoid bottom-table finishes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cowboys have shown improved form with solid wins and narrow losses, while the Tigers' results have been inconsistent with a string of defeats interspersed with occasional upsets. The Cowboys' home record adds further weight to their favor.
  • Cowboys have a positive recent head-to-head record against the Tigers, especially at home. Tigers have pulled off occasional upsets, but Cowboys are dominant more often than not in these matchups[2][3].
  • No major injury crises reported for either team at the time of writing. Minor injuries or late withdrawals may influence bench strength but not the overall outlook.
  • Home crowd, travel for the Tigers (long trip from Sydney to Townsville), and good weather forecasted, all favor the Cowboys.
  • Cowboys are driven to maintain a finals push; Tigers must fight to avoid the wooden spoon, which can sometimes inspire strong performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cowboys: -280, Tigers: 220, Draw: 2200 Cowboys win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Cowboys -8.5 (-115), Tigers +8.5 (-115) Cowboys cover -8.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 49.5 (-115), Under 49.5 (-115) Over 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Queensland Cowboys 1510%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: North Queensland Cowboys at 1510% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 68.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

North Queensland Cowboys are expected to win, likely covering the spread, with a high probability of a high-scoring game. However, Tigers can be unpredictable and may keep it closer than expected if their defense holds.

Predicted Score: Cowboys 32 – Tigers 18


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Gold Coast Titans vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast

Game Overview

The Gold Coast Titans face the Melbourne Storm in a Round 13 NRL match. The Titans are looking to upset the favored Storm, who have a strong winning probability according to bookmakers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm are generally more consistent and have a stronger team record, but the Titans have shown potential in recent games.
  • The Storm have historically performed better against the Titans, but recent matches have been competitive.
  • No significant injury updates are available, but the Titans might be at a disadvantage due to the Storm's deeper roster.
  • The match is at Cbus Super Stadium, which might give the Titans a slight home advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but the Storm have more at stake in terms of their season standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gold Coast Titans: 285, Melbourne Storm: -360 Melbourne Storm ★★★☆☆ 66%
Spread Gold Coast Titans: 10.5 -110, Melbourne Storm: -10.5 -120 Melbourne Storm ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 48.5 -145, Under: 48.5 110 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

The Melbourne Storm are likely to win, given their strong form and team depth, but the Titans could make it a close match.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 26, Gold Coast Titans 20


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-30
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium

Game Overview

This NRL match pits the St George Illawarra Dragons against the Newcastle Knights. The Dragons are favored, with odds indicating a higher probability of winning. The game is expected to be competitive, given the spread and over/under odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have shown mixed performances in the current season. The Dragons have been consistent at home, while the Knights have struggled away from their home ground.
  • Historically, the head-to-head matches have been closely contested, with both teams having their share of wins.
  • Injuries could play a crucial role in this match, as missing key players can significantly impact team performance.
  • External factors such as weather conditions and crowd support might influence the game, though specific details are not available.
  • Motivation levels are high for both teams, as they seek to improve their standings in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -186 for St George Illawarra Dragons, 159 for Newcastle Knights, 2200 for a draw St George Illawarra Dragons ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread -5.5 for St George Illawarra Dragons, 5.5 for Newcastle Knights St George Illawarra Dragons to cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under 44.5 Under 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 50%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: St George Illawarra Dragons at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the current odds and team performance, the St George Illawarra Dragons are likely to win this match.

Predicted Score: St George Illawarra Dragons 24 – Newcastle Knights 18


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