Match Analysis: Cincinnati Bearcats vs Tennessee Volunteers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-31
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Lindsey Nelson Stadium, Knoxville, Tennessee
Game Overview
The NCAA Knoxville Regional matchup between the Cincinnati Bearcats and the Tennessee Volunteers is a high-stakes college baseball game. Tennessee, the reigning national champions with a strong SEC record and home-field advantage at Lindsey Nelson Stadium, faces a Cincinnati team that earned its way into the tournament as the No. 3 seed. Both teams have shown solid offensive and pitching performances in the tournament so far, with Cincinnati recently beating Wake Forest 11-6 and Tennessee defeating Miami (OH) 9-2. This game is expected to be competitive with a focus on pitching matchups and home team momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tennessee Volunteers have been dominant throughout the 2025 season, finishing with impressive SEC and overall records, capturing the SEC regular season and tournament titles, and delivering strong performances in recent NCAA games (9-2 win over Miami (OH)). Cincinnati Bearcats have had a solid but less dominant season, earning a tournament berth and winning against Wake Forest 11-6. Tennessee's offense and pitching depth generally outmatch Cincinnati's on paper, especially with Tennessee playing at home.
- No recent direct head-to-head matchups recorded for the 2025 season between Cincinnati and Tennessee prior to this NCAA Regional game. Tennessee holds the advantage as the higher-seeded team and home favorite.
- No specific injury reports available for either team ahead of this game, suggesting both sides are likely near full strength.
- The game is played at Tennessee's home stadium, Lindsey Nelson Stadium, where the Volunteers are comfortable and supported by a strong home crowd. Weather information is not provided but typical late-May conditions should be favorable for baseball.
- Tennessee, as the reigning national champions and top seed in the regional, are highly motivated to maintain dominance and advance further. Cincinnati seeks to prove their toughness as underdogs, aiming to pull off an upset in hostile territory.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Cincinnati Bearcats: 230, Tennessee Volunteers: -315 | Tennessee Volunteers | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | Cincinnati Bearcats: -3.5 at -120, Tennessee Volunteers: +3.5 at -110 | Tennessee Volunteers -3.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 13: -115, Under 13: -115 | Under 13 runs | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Cincinnati Bearcats -99% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 13 -99% |
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Tennessee Volunteers are favored to win this matchup given their superior season performance, higher seeding, home advantage, and stronger overall team metrics. The prediction leans toward a Tennessee victory by a moderate margin.
Predicted Score: Tennessee Volunteers 7, Cincinnati Bearcats 3