Match Analysis: Central Connecticut St Blue Devils vs NC State Wolfpack – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-31
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Neutral site – Auburn Regional
Game Overview
This NCAA baseball matchup features Central Connecticut State Blue Devils facing NC State Wolfpack in the Auburn Regional. Central Connecticut State enters with a strong 31-16 overall record and a robust .660 winning percentage, boasting a conference record of 23-7. They have a solid batting lineup with a .334 team batting average and depth in hitting. NC State, ranked 6th nationally at the end of 2024 and a College World Series participant, is favored heavily due to its higher competitive tier, stronger schedule against top ACC teams, and superior season performance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils have a solid season with strong conference play and home/away records, but NC State Wolfpack has demonstrated elite performance including a deep postseason run, higher ranked schedule, and consistent top-tier national ranking.
- This is the first meeting between Central Connecticut State and NC State on the baseball diamond, so no direct historical head-to-head data is available.
- No specific injury reports are available for either team at this time, suggesting both teams will be near full strength for this game.
- The game is being played at a neutral site in the Auburn Regional, which reduces home field advantage factors. Weather or other conditions are not reported to significantly impact gameplay.
- NC State is highly motivated to continue its deep postseason run after a strong 2024 season, while Central Connecticut State aims to prove capability against a top program and advance further in the NCAA tournament.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Central Connecticut St Blue Devils: +420, NC State Wolfpack: -660 | NC State Wolfpack | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Spread | Central Connecticut St Blue Devils: 4.5 at +105, NC State Wolfpack: -4.5 at -135 | NC State Wolfpack -4.5 | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Over/under | Over 12.5: -115, Under 12.5: -115 | Under 12.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | NC State Wolfpack -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 12.5 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 12.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
NC State Wolfpack is strongly favored to win given their superior talent, tournament experience, and dominant season performance. Central Connecticut State may struggle to keep pace but could fight to cover a moderate run spread.
Predicted Score: NC State Wolfpack 7 – Central Connecticut St Blue Devils 2