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Jafel Filho vs. Allan Nascimento Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jafel Filho vs Allan Nascimento – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 12:45 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

This is a flyweight (125 lbs) preliminary bout at UFC Vegas 107, featuring Jafel Filho (16-3-0, 32 years old, 5'7") against Allan Nascimento (20-6-0, 33 years old, 5'8"). Both fighters are orthodox and experienced, with Nascimento holding a minor height and reach advantage. Filho is more accurate defensively but Nascimento is more efficient offensively, landing a higher percentage of significant strikes per minute (3.21 vs 2.36, 61% vs 41% accuracy). Both have comparable defense percentages, but Nascimento's superior output and efficiency are notable.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nascimento has a higher overall win record and superior striking efficiency. Filho has a respectable record but relies more on defensive acumen.
  • No prior UFC or documented head-to-head bouts between these two fighters.
  • No major injuries reported for either fighter going into this match.
  • Venue is a controlled environment (UFC Apex); both are experienced, but Nascimento's recent performances show slightly higher momentum.
  • Both fighters are positioned for a step up in the flyweight division; a win is crucial for either to advance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jafel Filho: +130, Allan Nascimento: -155 Allan Nascimento ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Allan Nascimento: -3.5 (+130), Jafel Filho: +3.5 (-180) Allan Nascimento -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5: -160, Under 2.5: +124 Over 2.5 Rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Allan Nascimento -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Allan Nascimento is favored to win due to a higher striking output, better accuracy, and a slight reach advantage. However, Filho's defensive skills could make the fight close, but Nascimento's volume and efficiency are likely to be decisive factors.

Predicted Score: Allan Nascimento to win by unanimous decision (29-28 or 30-27), with the fight going over 2.5 rounds.


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Jafel Filho vs. Allan Nascimento Prediction

Match Analysis: Jafel Filho vs Allan Nascimento – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-05-31 Time: 12:45 AM UTC Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV Game Overview This is a flyweight (125 lbs) preliminary bout at UFC Vegas 107, featuring Jafel Filho (16-3-0, 32 years old, 5'7") against Allan Nascimento (20-6-0, 33 years old, 5'8"). Both fighters […]

Allan Nascimento Jafel Filho June 1, 2025 MMA/Boxing

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Erin Blanchfield vs. Maycee Barber Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Erin Blanchfield vs Maycee Barber – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 31, 2025
  • Time: 3:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Erin Blanchfield and Maycee Barber are set to face off in a highly anticipated women's flyweight bout at UFC Fight Night. Both fighters are ranked in the UFC's top five at 125 pounds, positioning them for a potential title shot. Blanchfield, currently ranked No. 4, recently defeated Rose Namajunas, while Barber, ranked No. 5, is on a six-fight winning streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Erin Blanchfield has shown strong performance in recent fights, including a victory over Rose Namajunas. Maycee Barber is on a six-fight winning streak, indicating her resurgence.
  • There is no prior head-to-head fight between Erin Blanchfield and Maycee Barber.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
  • The fight is held at the UFC Apex, which can favor fighters with strong grappling skills. Both fighters are well-rounded and have shown no specific disadvantage at this venue.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with a potential title shot in the future.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -238 (Erin Blanchfield), 195 (Maycee Barber) Erin Blanchfield ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread -5.5 (Erin Blanchfield) 125, 5.5 (Maycee Barber) -170 Erin Blanchfield ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 4.5 -230, Under: 4.5 175 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Erin Blanchfield -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 4.5 51%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 4.5 at 51% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Erin Blanchfield is favored to win based on her recent performances and ranking.

Predicted Score: Decision or submission victory for Erin Blanchfield


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Mateusz Gamrot vs. L'udovit Klein Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mateusz Gamrot vs L'udovit Klein – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 2:45 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, USA

Game Overview

Mateusz Gamrot faces L'udovit Klein in a highly anticipated lightweight bout at UFC Apex. Gamrot is a former two-time European submission wrestling champion and currently ranked in the UFC lightweight top 10, known for his strong wrestling and high takedown rate. Klein is unranked but boasts a 95.2% takedown defense and formidable striking. This is Klein’s biggest UFC opportunity to date[4][5][3].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gamrot averages 5.25 takedowns per fight with 43 UFC takedowns (2nd most in lightweight division), but Klein leads active lightweights in takedown defense (95.2%). Gamrot is a solid striker (3.23 significant strikes per minute) but absorbs a similar number (3.22), making him vulnerable to Klein’s power[5]. Klein is an aggressive striker with power and is difficult to take down.
  • First meeting between the two. No prior record.
  • No significant injuries reported; recent rumors of Klein’s injury were debunked[2].
  • Event held at UFC Apex, known for intense atmosphere and fan energy, but with a smaller crowd compared to larger arenas[1][3].
  • For Klein, this is the biggest fight of his career and a chance to break into the top 10. Gamrot is protecting his ranking and looking to reassert himself in the division[5][3].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mateusz Gamrot: -162 | L'udovit Klein: 136 Mateusz Gamrot ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Mateusz Gamrot: -3.5 150 | L'udovit Klein: 3.5 -205 L'udovit Klein +3.5 (covers) ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -315 | Under: 2.5 230 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mateusz Gamrot -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mateusz Gamrot at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gamrot is the favorite due to his wrestling pedigree and top-10 ranking, but the fight is likely to be very close. Expect a competitive, technical battle with Gamrot edging the decision via grappling control and experience, though Klein’s takedown defense and striking power make him dangerous throughout. The fight may go the distance, with Gamrot winning by split or unanimous decision in a close contest[5][4].

Predicted Score: Mateusz Gamrot by decision (scorecards: 29–28, 29–28, 28–29; split decision)


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Billy Goff vs. Ramiz Brahimaj Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Billy Goff vs Ramiz Brahimaj – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 2:40 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

Billy Goff (9-3-0), a versatile switch striker, faces Ramiz Brahimaj (11-5-0), an orthodox grappler, in a welterweight bout on the main card of UFC Vegas 107: Blanchfield vs Barber. This matchup pits Goff's significant strike volume (8.56 per min, 46% accuracy) against Brahimaj's grappling and defensive approach (2.26 significant strikes per min, 44% accuracy). Goff is favored by bookmakers, indicating faith in his striking and activity over Brahimaj's grappling prowess[2][3][4].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Billy Goff lands nearly four times the significant strikes per minute as Brahimaj and has better offensive and defensive striking metrics. Brahimaj relies more on wrestling and ground control, but Goff's high-volume output makes him the more active fighter on the feet[2].
  • No previous meetings between Goff and Brahimaj in MMA competition[2][3][4].
  • No public injury reports for either fighter ahead of this bout[1][2][4].
  • No major external factors reported; both fighters are healthy and fit for competition. This bout was rebooked due to previous visa and scheduling issues, but both are now set for this event[1][2].
  • Goff seeks to build momentum and climb the welterweight rankings, while Brahimaj aims to prove his grappling can overcome high-level strikers and get back on track after mixed recent results[2][4].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Billy Goff: -355, Ramiz Brahimaj: 280 Billy Goff ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Billy Goff: -3.5 (-195), Ramiz Brahimaj: +3.5 (140) Billy Goff covers spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5: -175, Under 1.5: 135 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Billy Goff -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Billy Goff is expected to win via decision or late stoppage, utilizing his high-volume striking and movement to dictate the pace. Brahimaj's best path is early takedowns and submission attempts, but Goff's defensive wrestling and high activity make him the safer pick[2][3][4].

Predicted Score: Billy Goff by decision (unanimous or split), 29-28


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Dustin Jacoby vs. Bruno Lopes Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Dustin Jacoby vs Bruno Lopes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 31, 2025
  • Time: 1:45 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Game Overview

Dustin Jacoby and Bruno Lopes are scheduled to fight in the light heavyweight division at UFC Vegas 107. Jacoby, a more experienced fighter, is favored to win against Lopes, who is looking to pull off an upset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dustin Jacoby has a more active fight history with his last fight being 5 months ago. Bruno Lopes fought 4 months ago, but has been less active over the past few years.
  • There is no prior head-to-head fight history between Dustin Jacoby and Bruno Lopes.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter have been mentioned.
  • The fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, which may favor Jacoby due to his experience in similar settings.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, but Jacoby might have an edge due to his experience and recent activity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dustin Jacoby: -198, Bruno Lopes: 164 Dustin Jacoby to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Bruno Lopes: 3.5 -120, Dustin Jacoby: -3.5 -110 Dustin Jacoby to win by decision or early stoppage ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -110, Under: 2.5 -120 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dustin Jacoby -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Dustin Jacoby is likely to win the fight based on his recent activity and experience in the UFC.

Predicted Score: Dustin Jacoby wins by decision or TKO/KO in the 3rd round


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Zachary Reese vs. Dusko Todorovic Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Zachary Reese vs Dusko Todorovic – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 31, 2025
  • Time: 1:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

Zachary Reese and Dusko Todorovic are set to face off in a middleweight bout at UFC Vegas 107. Reese is favored, with odds reflecting his recent form and performance in the UFC.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Zachary Reese has a 8-2 record, recently splitting his first four UFC fights. Dusko Todorovic has a 12-5 record but has lost his last two fights. Reese's recent knockout win over Julian Marquez earned him a Performance of the Night bonus.
  • This is their first meeting, with no prior head-to-head data available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, which could favor Reese due to his recent experience competing in the UFC.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Reese looking to bounce back from a loss and Todorovic seeking to end his losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Zachary Reese -230, Dusko Todorovic 190 Zachary Reese ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Zachary Reese -3.5 -225, Dusko Todorovic 3.5 165 Zachary Reese ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.5 140, Under 1.5 -180 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Zachary Reese -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Zachary Reese at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Zachary Reese is predicted to win based on his recent form and favorable odds.

Predicted Score: Zachary Reese via decision or TKO


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Ketlen Vieira vs. Macy Chiasson Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ketlen Vieira vs Macy Chiasson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 31, 2025
  • Time: 12:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Ketlen Vieira and Macy Chiasson will face off in a women's bantamweight bout at UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber. Both fighters have a strong record, with Vieira holding a 14-4-0 record and Chiasson at 11-3-0. Vieira is known for her physicality and grappling skills, while Chiasson is recognized for her high work rate and athleticism.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vieira's physicality and grappling skills are significant advantages, but Chiasson's high volume of strikes and athleticism could pose challenges.
  • This is their first matchup, making it challenging to predict based on past performances against each other.
  • No injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • Both fighters are known for their endurance, which could lead to a well-rounded fight.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win and advance in the rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ketlen Vieira: 100, Macy Chiasson: -120 Macy Chiasson ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Ketlen Vieira: 3.5 -245, Macy Chiasson: -3.5 175 Macy Chiasson ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -360, Under: 2.5 260 Over ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Macy Chiasson 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Macy Chiasson at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Chiasson's higher strike rate and athleticism, she might have an edge in this fight.

Predicted Score: Decision (Macy Chiasson)


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Trevin Giles vs. Andreas Gustafsson Berg Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Trevin Giles vs Andreas Gustafsson Berg – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 11:40 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Game Overview

Andreas Gustafsson Berg makes his UFC debut against the more experienced Trevin Giles at UFC Vegas 107. Gustafsson is favored, with strong odds reflecting his recent form and efficiency in strikes. Giles, however, brings a wealth of experience to the fight.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Trevin Giles has a 16-7-0 record, while Andreas Gustafsson Berg has a 11-2-0 record. Gustafsson lands more significant strikes per minute and has a higher percentage of successful strikes.
  • There is no head-to-head history between Trevin Giles and Andreas Gustafsson Berg.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
  • Gustafsson will be the first fighter to wear the UFC Debut Patch on his warm-up jersey, which might give him additional motivation.
  • Gustafsson is highly motivated for his UFC debut, while Giles seeks to prove his experience still counts in the UFC.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -166 for Gustafsson, +140 for Giles Gustafsson to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -3.5 for Gustafsson (-115), +3.5 for Giles (-115) Gustafsson to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 (+100), Under 2.5 (-130) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Andreas Gustafsson Berg 68%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Andreas Gustafsson Berg at 68% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 48.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Andreas Gustafsson Berg is likely to win based on his recent form and striking efficiency.

Predicted Score: Gustafsson to win by TKO or submission in under 2.5 rounds.


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Bolaji Oki vs. Michael Aswell Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Bolaji Oki vs Michael Aswell – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 11:10 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Bolaji Oki and Michael Aswell face off in a highly anticipated MMA match at UFC Vegas 107. Bolaji Oki was originally scheduled to fight Mederos, but due to Mederos's withdrawal, Aswell has stepped in. This change adds an element of unpredictability to the fight.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bolaji Oki has been a hyped prospect from the Dana White Contender Series, though he has experienced setbacks. Michael Aswell, a former DWCS cast-off, offers a fresh challenge.
  • There is no previous head-to-head data available for these fighters.
  • No specific injury reports are available for either fighter at this time.
  • The late change in opponents could impact Bolaji Oki's strategy and preparation.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, with Bolaji Oki seeking to redeem himself and Michael Aswell looking to prove his worth.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -365 / 300 Bolaji Oki ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under -150 / 120 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bolaji Oki -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Bolaji Oki is favored to win, based on his prior profile and performance expectations.

Predicted Score: Bolaji Oki by decision


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Kurt Holobaugh vs. Jordan Leavitt Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kurt Holobaugh vs Jordan Leavitt – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 10:40 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

The Lightweight division prelim fight at UFC Vegas 107 pits Kurt Holobaugh against Jordan Leavitt. Holobaugh, aged 38 with a record of 22-9-0, is an orthodox striker known for his higher output of significant strikes per minute but with a lower accuracy compared to Leavitt who is a southpaw with a record of 11-3-0. Leavitt is younger at 29 years old and favors defensive striking, absorbing fewer significant strikes per minute. The fight is expected to be a tactical battle between Holobaugh’s volume striking and Leavitt’s precision and defensive skills.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Holobaugh averages 4.65 significant strikes per minute landing 45% accuracy but takes 4.30 strikes per minute. Leavitt lands 2.55 significant strikes per minute at 61% accuracy while taking only 1.84 strikes per minute, defensively superior with a 57% strike defense compared to Holobaugh's 49%. Both fighters have solid grappling but striking stats favor Leavitt in precision and defense.
  • No direct past encounters between Holobaugh and Leavitt have been recorded, making this matchup a fresh tactical contest without prior outcomes influencing prediction.
  • No notable injuries reported for either fighter leading into this bout, suggesting both are expected to perform at full capacity.
  • Fight taking place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas with likely neutral crowd influence. Both fighters have motivation to climb the lightweight ranks with Leavitt being the rising younger prospect and Holobaugh an experienced veteran seeking resurgence.
  • Leavitt’s youth and upward trajectory provide strong motivation to secure a decisive win; Holobaugh’s veteran status and need to maintain relevance in the division fuel his drive to capitalize on experience.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jordan Leavitt: -218, Kurt Holobaugh: 180 Jordan Leavitt ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Jordan Leavitt: -3.5 at 100, Kurt Holobaugh: +3.5 at -135 Jordan Leavitt -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -160, Under 2.5 rounds: 124 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jordan Leavitt -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jordan Leavitt is favored to win due to superior defensive striking, higher accuracy, and lower damage taken. His younger age and southpaw stance present stylistic and physical advantages over Holobaugh, who relies on volume but is more vulnerable defensively.

Predicted Score: Jordan Leavitt wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds


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