Match Analysis: New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-13
- Time: 11:11 PM UTC
- Location: Citi Field (New York)
Game Overview
The New York Mets, leading the National League East, host the Tampa Bay Rays, who are currently third in the AL East. The Mets boast a strong 45-24 record, while the Rays hold a solid but not as dominant 36-32. This matchup kicks off a three-game series between the teams[1][3].
Key Factors to Consider
- The Mets have been one of the top teams in the NL with notable consistency both at home and against interleague opponents. The Rays, while above .500, have faced more inconsistency but remain a competitive team with playoff aspirations.
- Recent interleague history does not show extensive head-to-head matchups, but the Mets' current form and home record give them an edge.
- No major injury reports impacting either team's expected lineups are available in the current data.
- Weather is not expected to play a factor (indoor games or typical New York June weather). Mets are on a positive trajectory, while the Rays are looking to gain momentum.
- Mets aim to maintain their division lead and home dominance, while the Rays are motivated to climb the AL East standings and stay in playoff contention.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mets: -164, Rays: +138 | Mets Win | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | Mets -1.5: +126, Rays +1.5: -152 | Rays Cover +1.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | Over 8: -108, Under 8: -112 | Under 8 | β β β ββ 53% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Mets 50% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 8 0% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: New York Mets at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Mets are favored due to their superior record and home-field advantage. The Rays remain dangerous but are less likely to win outright. Expect a closely contested game, but with a slight edge to the Mets.
Predicted Score: Mets 4, Rays 3