Match Analysis: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-28
- Time: 7:41 PM UTC
- Location: Chase Field
Game Overview
The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Pittsburgh Pirates in a late May matchup. The Diamondbacks are favored slightly, reflecting their home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams have shown mixed performances lately, but the Diamondbacks have home-field advantage.
- Recent head-to-head matches have favored the Pirates, with a recent win on May 27, 2025.
- Bryan Reynolds was noted to be playing despite an undisclosed issue, while Andrew McCutchen is not in the lineup for the Pirates.
- Weather conditions at Chase Field are typically favorable for baseball, with minimal external factors affecting play.
- Both teams are motivated to win, but the Diamondbacks' home advantage could provide an edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Arizona Diamondbacks: -122, Pittsburgh Pirates: 104 | Arizona Diamondbacks | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Spread | Arizona Diamondbacks: -1.5 (+164), Pittsburgh Pirates: +1.5 (-200) | Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 due to favorable odds | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Over/under | Over: 7.5 (-115), Under: 7.5 (-105) | Under 7.5 | ★★★☆☆ 51% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Arizona Diamondbacks 4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 -0% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arizona Diamondbacks are likely to win due to home-field advantage and slight favoritism in the odds.
Predicted Score: Arizona Diamondbacks 4, Pittsburgh Pirates 3