Match Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-28
- Time: 5:11 PM UTC
- Location: American Family Field
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Brewers host the Boston Red Sox in the third game of their series. The Brewers lead the series 2-0, winning the first two games with scores of 3-2 and 5-1 respectively. The Brewers have displayed strong pitching and a resilient offense, highlighted by Christian Yelich's grand slam in the 10th inning of the second game. The Red Sox have struggled offensively and will look to avoid a series sweep on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- Milwaukee Brewers are performing slightly above .500 with a 28-28 record, showing solid pitching performances especially from Freddy Peralta (5-3, 2.55 ERA). The Red Sox hold a 27-30 record, having been outscored 8-3 in the series so far, struggling offensively in the first two games.
- In the current 3-game series, the Brewers lead 2-0. Recent matchups show the Brewers having an edge through pitching and clutch hitting.
- No critical injuries reported for this matchup affecting starting pitchers or key hitters.
- Game to be played at Milwaukee's American Family Field, home advantage favors the Brewers. Weather and other external conditions are assumed normal with no reported disruptions.
- Brewers motivated to sweep the series at home and improve their standings. Red Sox aim to avoid a sweep and must rebound offensively to keep playoff hopes alive.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Boston Red Sox: 126, Milwaukee Brewers: -148 | Milwaukee Brewers to win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Boston Red Sox: -1.5 -164, Milwaukee Brewers: +1.5 136 | Milwaukee Brewers to cover -1.5 spread | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 7.5: -122, Under 7.5: 100 | Under 7.5 runs | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 20% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Brewers are favored to win given their home advantage, current momentum, and stronger pitching performance. Expect a competitive but controlled game with Milwaukee covering the spread and the total runs staying around the projection.
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 4 – Boston Red Sox 2