Match Analysis: Torino vs AS Roma – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-25
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin, Italy
Game Overview
The Serie A match between Torino and AS Roma will take place at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, with Torino hosting Roma. Torino currently ranks 11th in Serie A, while Roma is stronger in 5th place. Historically, Roma has dominated this fixture with significantly more wins, and currently holds good away form. Torino is struggling at home compared to Roma’s solid overall and away performance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Roma shows good form with 6 away wins in the season and overall superior performance, while Torino has been in poor form with only 6 home wins. Roma averages 1.86 goals per match while conceding about 1.06, whereas Torino averages 1.06 goals scored and concedes 1.86 goals on average.
- Roma has won 27 out of 40 head-to-head matches (67.5%), Torino only 6 (15%), and 7 ended in draws (17.5%). The average goals per match between them is 2.68 with Roma showing clear dominance especially at home. Recent matches also favor Roma, including a 1-0 and 3-2 win in previous meetings this season.
- No specific live injury updates available, but any key absences would critically affect both teams given the importance of this fixture at the season’s end.
- Playing at home is a slight advantage for Torino, but Roma’s superior form and away record diminish this edge. Weather or pitch conditions not currently indicated to affect match outcome.
- Roma has the motivation to secure European qualification or improve standings, while Torino aims to finish strong and improve their mid-table status, making this a competitive match.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | AS Roma: -175, Torino: 460, Draw: 330 | AS Roma to win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | AS Roma: -1 -102, Torino: +1 -118 | AS Roma -1 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -108 | Over 2.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | AS Roma 2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 14% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AS Roma is favored to win this match given their strong recent form, superior head-to-head record, and better overall team performance compared to Torino.
Predicted Score: Torino 1 – 2 AS Roma