Match Analysis: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-23
- Time: 10:41 PM UTC
- Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Brewers visit the Pittsburgh Pirates for the second game of a series at PNC Park. In the previous game on May 22, 2025, the Brewers defeated the Pirates 8-5. The Brewers showed strong power hitting with Christian Yelich hitting two home runs and driving in four runs, while the Pirates struggled to contain Milwaukee's offense. The Pirates had some offensive highlights including a home run from Spencer Horwitz and multiple runs from Oneil Cruz, but were ultimately outscored. The Brewers lead the recent matchup and enter this game as slight underdogs on the moneyline despite their recent win.
Key Factors to Consider
- Milwaukee Brewers have demonstrated strong offensive capabilities recently, with key players like Christian Yelich producing multiple home runs and RBIs. The Pirates have shown resilience with individual offensive performances but have struggled to maintain leads and contain the Brewers' bats.
- In the latest head-to-head contest on May 22, 2025, the Brewers beat the Pirates 8-5 at Pittsburgh's home field. This recent result suggests the Brewers have the edge, especially offensively, in this matchup.
- No specific injury reports were found for either team for this game, implying both teams likely have their key players available for the contest.
- The game is played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, giving the Pirates home field advantage. Weather or other external conditions were not mentioned, implying normal playing conditions. The Pirates will be motivated to rebound from the previous day's loss.
- The Pirates are motivated to even the series at home after conceding an 8-5 loss. The Brewers aim to build on their momentum and secure a series win on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers: +106, Pittsburgh Pirates: -124 | Pittsburgh Pirates | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Milwaukee Brewers -1.5: +180, Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5: -220 | Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 7: -110, Under 7: -110 | Over 7 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Pittsburgh Pirates 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 7 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 7 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Pittsburgh Pirates are favored to win narrowly at home given the home advantage and motivation to bounce back. However, Milwaukee Brewers' strong offensive form indicates a competitive close contest likely decided by a small margin.
Predicted Score: Pirates 6 – 5 Brewers