Match Analysis: UTSA Roadrunners vs Florida Atlantic Owls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-23
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Baycare Ballpark, Clearwater, Florida
Game Overview
The NCAA baseball match between UTSA Roadrunners and Florida Atlantic Owls is set at Baycare Ballpark in Clearwater, Florida. UTSA enters with a strong overall season record around 42-11, showing good form at home and competitive in the American Athletic Conference. Florida Atlantic, with a 27-13 record, was predicted to finish sixth in the AAC preseason poll but has proven competitive overall. This matchup pits UTSA's home and season strength against Florida Atlantic’s solid performance and experience.
Key Factors to Consider
- UTSA is exhibiting a powerful season with a strong winning record and dominant performances, especially in home games. Florida Atlantic has a good season record but slightly less dominant, with a recent loss to UTSA 10-7 at Roadrunner Field showing they can be challenged. Both teams have shown capabilities in hitting and pitching, but UTSA's defensive and offensive consistency is notable.
- In their recent encounter on March 28, 2025, UTSA won 10-7 against Florida Atlantic at home. This close yet high-scoring game suggests a competitive rivalry with UTSA holding a slight edge on recent meetings.
- No current notable injury reports are available indicating key player absences for either team.
- The game is played at a neutral site in Florida but not at Florida Atlantic's home stadium, which could reduce home-field advantage. Weather and field conditions are expected to be typical for late May in Florida, generally favorable for baseball.
- UTSA aims to consolidate their strong season and assert dominance in the conference with a win against a respected opponent. Florida Atlantic seeks to redeem the prior loss and improve their conference standing, adding motivation for a tightly contested game.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Florida Atlantic Owls: 160, UTSA Roadrunners: -210 | UTSA Roadrunners to win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Florida Atlantic Owls: 1.5 -105, UTSA Roadrunners: -1.5 -125 | UTSA Roadrunners to cover -1.5 spread | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over: 13.5 -110, Under: 13.5 -120 | Over 13.5 runs | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | UTSA Roadrunners -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 13.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 13.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UTSA Roadrunners are favored to win due to better season form, recent head-to-head victory, and favorable odds. The game is expected to be competitive but with UTSA edging Florida Atlantic, likely in a moderately high-scoring match.
Predicted Score: UTSA Roadrunners 8 – 5 Florida Atlantic Owls