Match Analysis: Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-24
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, CO
Game Overview
Colorado Rapids host St. Louis City SC in a crucial MLS regular season match. Both teams are positioned competitively (St. Louis recently near top half, Colorado often top third), and this is a key Western Conference clash. Colorado has a recent edge, having beaten St. Louis convincingly in both previous regular season meetings last year—3-0 away and 4-1 at home. The Rapids are in good form, also winning recently against strong sides like LAFC.
Key Factors to Consider
- Colorado Rapids show strong home form and recent momentum, particularly with standout players like Djordje Mihailovic excelling. St. Louis City is solid defensively but struggled in recent head-to-heads with Colorado. Colorado has also had recent competitive matches, potentially boosting match sharpness.
- Colorado Rapids swept St. Louis City in the 2024 regular season, with dominant wins both at home and away. The aggregate score was 7-1 over two matches.
- No major new injury concerns have been reported for either side at this time. Colorado has integrated new signings smoothly, including potential debuts for Josh Atencio and Alex Harris.
- Home advantage for Colorado is significant, especially at Dick's Sporting Goods Park. Weather is not expected to be a major factor based on current forecasts.
- Both teams are highly motivated to secure valuable points for their playoff ambitions. Colorado may have extra confidence from recent results and their recent head-to-head dominance.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Colorado: -111, St. Louis: 260, Draw: 290 | Colorado Rapids | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Colorado -0.5 (-115), St. Louis +50 (-115) | Colorado Rapids -0.5 (win or draw for Colorado on spread) | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 (-172), Under 2.5 (130) | Over 2.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Colorado Rapids 14% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 -2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Colorado Rapids at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Colorado Rapids are projected to win at home, given their strong recent form, head-to-head dominance, and home advantage. St. Louis City, while competitive, has struggled to overcome Colorado's tactical and physical edge in recent meetings. Expect a tightly contested match with Colorado narrowly favored.
Predicted Score: Colorado Rapids 2 – 1 St. Louis City SC