Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-24
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Game Overview
The match between Fluminense and Vasco da Gama is part of the Brasileirão Betano, with Fluminense currently ranked 7th and Vasco da Gama at 13th. Fluminense has been performing well in recent matches, while Vasco da Gama has struggled, losing all their recent Serie A encounters.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fluminense generally has a strong performance record, while Vasco da Gama has been in poor form lately.
- In head-to-head matches, Fluminense has won fewer times than Vasco da Gama overall, but they have a recent advantage, winning 4 of the last 5 matches.
- No specific injury information is available for this match.
- Home advantage at the Estádio do Maracanã could favor Fluminense.
- Fluminense is likely more motivated to maintain their higher league position.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -135 for Fluminense, 390 for Vasco da Gama, 265 for a Draw | Fluminense to win | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | -0.75 for Fluminense at 100, 75 for Vasco da Gama at -120 | Fluminense to cover the spread | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.25 at -102, Under 2.25 at -118 | Over | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Fluminense -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.25 3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fluminense is expected to win, given their recent form and home advantage.
Predicted Score: Fluminense 2 – 1 Vasco da Gama