Match Analysis: Alavés vs CA Osasuna – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-24
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain
Game Overview
Alavés (14th) hosts Osasuna (9th) in a La Liga match where both sides are in the lower middle section of the table. Osasuna is in better recent form, and their head-to-head record strongly favors them against Alavés. Alavés seeks to break a 10-game winless streak against Osasuna in La Liga, while Osasuna aims to maintain their dominance and secure a top-half finish.
Key Factors to Consider
- Osasuna ranks higher (9th) and has shown better recent results compared to Alavés (14th). Osasuna likely has better squad depth and consistency this season.
- Osasuna is unbeaten in the last 10 La Liga encounters against Alavés, indicating a clear psychological edge[4][5].
- No major injury updates available from current sources. This field should be monitored for late updates.
- No significant external factors reported; weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal for the time of year. Match is at home for Alavés.
- Osasuna has more to gain with a top-half finish, while Alavés is expected to finish mid-table. Both teams are safe from relegation, but Osasuna has slightly more motivation for final standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Alavés: 215, CA Osasuna: 135, Draw: 225 | CA Osasuna | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Alavés: 25 -120, CA Osasuna: -0.25 100 | CA Osasuna (-0.25) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over: 2.25 105, Under: 2.25 -125 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | CA Osasuna -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 -1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Osasuna is favored due to superior league position, head-to-head dominance, and better form. Alavés is the underdog at home, risking another loss to Osasuna.
Predicted Score: 1-2