Match Analysis: Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-31
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Exploria Stadium, Orlando City, USA
Game Overview
Orlando City SC will host Chicago Fire in a key MLS regular season match. Both teams have shown competitive form this season, with past encounters including a goalless draw on May 3, 2025, where Orlando City's goalkeeper Pedro Gallese made 8 crucial saves to secure a clean sheet against a 10-man Chicago Fire. This match is important for both teams to gain points and improve their rankings in the Eastern Conference.
Key Factors to Consider
- Orlando City SC currently holds a mid-table position with mixed results (1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses recently), showing solid defensive resilience but some offensive inconsistencies. Chicago Fire has a slightly better record (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) and demonstrated toughness despite going down to 10 men in their previous meeting against Orlando City. Key players include Orlando's Pedro Gallese in goal and forward H. Cuypers who has 4 goals this season, while Chicago Fire relies on strong performances from players like M. Pasalic and defenders A. Gutman and A. Freeman with notable goals and assists contributions.
- The most recent encounter on May 3, 2025, ended 0-0 with Orlando City holding onto a clean sheet despite Chicago's strong attacking efforts. Chicago Fire played much of that match with 10 men due to a red card to Chris Brady, which affected their attacking options. Orlando City has had a defensive edge, but neither side has scored in the last meeting.
- No explicit injury details are provided in the available data. However, the last match was impacted by a red card for Chicago Fire which could imply some caution or disciplinary issues. Both teams appear to have their core squads available for this fixture.
- The match is played at Orlando City's home ground, Exploria Stadium, giving them home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are not explicitly detailed but are expected to be neutral. Chicago Fire's disciplinary record and past red cards could influence their approach cautiously.
- Both teams need points to improve their standings. Orlando City SC likely aims to capitalize on home advantage to ascend the table, while Chicago Fire will seek to overcome their recent setbacks and maintain momentum after a better start to the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Orlando City SC: -165, Chicago Fire: 400, Draw: 330 | Home Win | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Orlando City SC -1: -102, Chicago Fire +1: -118 | Orlando City SC -1 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 3: -108, Under 3: -112 | Under 3 Goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Orlando City SC 190% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Orlando City SC at 190% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Orlando City SC is favored to win due to home advantage, defensive solidity, and recent performance, but the match could remain tight based on previous goalless draws and Chicago Fire's resilience.
Predicted Score: 2-0